Notices

Decision Information

Decision Content

On December 13, 2012, the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) published CSA Discussion Paper and Request for Comment 81-407 Mutual Fund Fees (Paper) which identified potential investor protection and fairness issues that may arise from Canada’s current mutual fund fee structure.  In particular, the Paper examined how embedded advisor compensation and other forms of tied compensation could give rise to actual or perceived conflicts of interests.

 

Following comments received on the Paper, the CSA conducted extensive stakeholder consultations, including a public roundtable on June 7, 2013, and discussion forums in the summer and fall of 2013.  As a result of feedback received during the consultations, the CSA decided to obtain and publish independent research to assist in determining whether regulatory action is needed.

 

Specifically, the CSA commissioned independent third party research in two main areas:

 

1.      Researchers, using data sourced directly from Canadian investment fund managers, would evaluate the extent, if any, to which sales and trailing commissions influence mutual fund sales.

 

2.      Researchers would conduct a literature review to evaluate the extent, if any, to which the use of fee-based vs. commission-based compensation changes the nature of advice and investment outcomes over the long term.

 

Following a request for proposals by the CSA, the above pieces of research were awarded to Professor Douglas Cumming and the Brondesbury Group, respectively.  Professor Douglas Cumming has now completed his data focused study and his findings are set out in the enclosed report entitled “A Dissection of Mutual Fund Fees, Flows and Performance”. 

 

This research, together with the Brondesbury Group’s previously published “Mutual Fund Fee Research” report and the comments received during the previous consultation period, are intended to be among the inputs that will be factored into the CSA’s determination of whether to effect certain policy changes.

 

We remind readers that the views and opinions expressed in the enclosed report are those of the authors.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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A Dissection of Mutual Fund Fees, Flows, and Performance

 

 

Douglas Cumming

Professor and Ontario Research Chair

York University - Schulich School of Business

4700 Keele Street

Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3

Canada

http://ssrn.com/author=75390 

dcumming@schulich.yorku.ca  

 

 

Sofia Johan

York University - Schulich School of Business

4700 Keele Street

Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3

Canada

http://www.schulich.yorku.ca/ 

and

University of Tilburg

Extramural Research Fellow

Tilburg Law and Economics Centre (TILEC)

Postbus 90153

5000 LE Tilburg

The Netherlands

http://ssrn.com/author=370203

sjohan@schulich.yorku.ca

 

 

Yelin Zhang

York University - Schulich School of Business

4700 Keele Street

Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3

Canada

http://www.schulich.yorku.ca/

ZhangY12@schulich.yorku.ca   

 

 

October 19, 2015

 

We are indebted to the mutual funds for providing access to their detailed data.  Also, we are indebted to the Ontario Securities Commission, and in particular Minami Ganaha, Rhonda Goldberg, Chantal Mainville, and Dennis Yanchus, for their help with facilitating data collection.  


A Dissection of Mutual Fund Fees, Flows, and Performance

Executive Summary

            This paper analyses Canadian mutual fund data on fund fee structures, fund flows and fund performance.  The data in this study has been gathered with a view to better informing academics, practitioners and policy makers about the relationship between specific types of mutual fund fees and flows, and how fees and flows are related in conjunction to fund performance.  As such, the paper provides an empirical assessment of the possible and often debated conflicts of interest in respect of different types of fund fee structures in the Canadian mutual fund industry.  For easier readability, we have included an executive summary glossary on pages 10-11.

The Data Set

The mutual fund data for this research was obtained further to a data request sent to all Canadian fund managers offering conventional mutual funds to the public under prospectus.  Canadian fund managers’ participation in the research was voluntary.  The data request questionnaire is attached as Appendix III.  The sample is from 2003 to 2014 and includes:

          43 fund families of 113 in total in Canada at the end of 2014 or 38.1% of the market

         $746 billion of Assets Under Management (AUM) for stand-alone funds (of an estimated total of $1.1 trillion from Investor Economics) or 66.7% of total AUM, comprising 18,012 FundSERV codes

         $152 billion in AUM for fund-of-funds (FOF) or 51.5% of the estimated total $295 billion market, comprising 4,018 FundSERV codes

The data set has 22,077 FundSERV codes in total, compared to the 16,752 FundSERV codes from fundlibrary.com and 12,300 FundSERV codes from fundata.com, both of which state they have the most comprehensive mutual fund datasets in Canada.[1]  In total, the sample comprises more than 1 million monthly FundSERV code observations on fees, flows, and performance. 

Fund fee structure

We analyzed the data according to the following fund fee structures:

By whether Fund-Of-Fund and by whether sold by manager.  We divide the sample into four groups depending on whether they are fund-of-funds or stand-alone funds and whether or not they can be purchased directly from the fund manager.

By Purchase Option. Mutual funds in Canada can be purchased in one of four primary options: 

         No Load (NL) purchase option does not include a front end commission nor can it attract deferred sales charges but it does pay a trailer fee to the fund dealer. 

         Deferred Sales Charge (DSC) purchase option requires the investor to pay a redemption fee if the units are sold before a predetermined period has elapsed, and also pays an upfront commission and a trailer fee to the fund dealers. 

         Front End (FE) or initial sales charge purchase option allows the fund dealer the option of charging a negotiable front end commission directly upon initial sale, and pays a trailer fee to dealers. 

         Fee Based (FB) purchase option does not allow for a front end commission to be charged, and it cannot attract deferred sales charges and there are no trailer fees paid to the dealer. High net worth or institutional series/purchase options where there is no front end commission, deferred sales charge or trailer fee paid are also reported as fee-based.

By Fund Affiliation with Dealer.  Investors may purchase mutual fund securities through a dealer affiliated with the fund or from an independent dealer.  We divided fund flows into whether or not they flowed through an affiliated dealer. 

Methodology

The analysis is twofold. 

1         How does past performance affect fund flows?

First, we examine the relationship between risk-adjusted performance (“alpha”) and future fund flows (“flow-performance slope”), and fund flows that are obtained regardless of past alpha (“flow-performance intercept”), and consider whether or not flow-performance intercept and slope are influenced by the fund fee structure. 

Higher flow-performance slope means disproportionately more investor money flows into the fund when past performance is strong and disproportionately more investor money flows out of the fund when past performance is weak.  Conversely, lower flow-performance slope means that disproportionately less investor money flows into the fund when past performance is strong and disproportionately less investor money flows out of the fund when past performance is weak (see “possible effect 1” on chart).  Higher flow-performance slope incentivizes fund managers to achieve higher alpha because the fund manager will receive disproportionately more flows into the fund for each increase in performance.

Large positive values of flow-performance intercept means that fund managers obtain new capital flows each month regardless of past performance and therefore they don’t have strong incentives to achieve higher alpha (see “possible effect 2” on chart). Positive values of flow-performance intercept means that fund managers achieve flow even if there is no positive risk-adjusted performance. 

 

2         Do fees and fund flows have any effect on future fund performance?

Second, we examine whether or not fund fee structures and flow-performance intercept and slope have any systematic effect on future alphas.

 

For both analyses, we use fixed-effects regressions by FundSERV code, which enables an isolation of the impact of fees separate from fund characteristics that may be correlated with flow. 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 


Results of the Analysis

1.      How does past performance affect fund flows?

For stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from the manager, regression analyses comparing across funds and over the sample period indicate that:

         Funds that perform better attract more flows…   Funds with higher alpha are generally rewarded with higher future flows.  For example, all other things being equal, a fund ranked at the bottom quartile (25th percentile) of all funds for risk adjusted performance loses 0.02% of its AUM in the next month, while a fund performing at the median gains 0.08% of new AUM in the next month, and a top quartile fund gains 0.21% of new AUM in the next month. 

         …but this effect is less strong for funds sold through affiliated dealers.  Affiliated dealer flows show a less robust statistical relation between past alpha and future flows, meaning that affiliated dealer flows are often not sensitive to past risk-adjusted performance.

         …and this effect is less strong for funds with trailers.  Trailer fees reduce flow-performance slope such that for any given improvement in performance, net capital inflows are 15% less than what they would have been in the absence of a trailer fee and likewise for any given reduction in performance, net capital outflows are 15% less than what they would have been in the absence of a trailer fee.   

         In fact, funds with trailers increase flows regardless of performance.  Trailer fees increase new flows regardless of past performance.  Generally, the greater the trailer fee, the greater the level of net flows that has no relationship to past performance.  For example, a 1.5% trailer fee increases the average monthly flows by 0.3% of AUM each month regardless of past performance.

         Fee-based fund flows are much more sensitive to performance.  Fee-based purchase options exhibit significantly higher flow-performance slope.  A fund that moves from the top quartile to the bottom performance quartile, for example, experiences a drop in flow relative to AUM by 0.32% under fee based purchase options, but only 0.26% under front end purchase options, 0.19% under no load purchase options, and 0.13% under deferred sales charge purchase options, controlling for other things being equal.

Similar effects were seen for funds that can be purchased directly from the manager and for Fund-of-Funds.

2          Do fees and fund flows have any effect on future fund performance?

In the second part of the analysis, we found the following relationships between flow-performance sensitivity, fee structures, and future performance alpha:

         An increase in trailers corresponds to a decrease in performance…  For the full sample of all funds, the data indicate that 2.5% of funds permanently increased their trailer fees in the sample period (from an average of 0.39% to 0.78%).  Comparison tests of the alphas for these funds from the 6-month prior fee change period to the 24 month post fee change period show alpha dropped by 32.4% on average. 

         …and a decrease in trailers corresponds to an increase in performance.  For the full sample of all funds, the data indicate that 0.6% of funds permanently decreased their trailer fees in the sample period (from an average of 0.42% to 0.27%). Comparison tests of the alphas for these funds from the 6-month prior fee change period to the 24 month post fee change period show alpha increased by 88.4% on average.

         Funds that have flows more sensitive to past performance tend to have better future performance.  Regression analyses comparing across funds and over time indicate that funds for which flows are more sensitive to past performance have better risk adjusted performance on average.  For stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly, an increase in trailer fees and deferred sales charges by 1% is indirectly associated with a reduction in future alpha by 1.4% and 0.6% relative to the average monthly alpha, respectively, due to the effects on the flow-performance intercept and slope.  The data indicate similar findings for stand-alone funds that can be purchased directly, and fund-of-funds that can and cannot be purchased directly, and the findings are robust over time.

         Funds that sell more through affiliated dealers tend to perform worse.  Regression analyses comparing across funds and over the sample period indicate that funds which receive higher levels of affiliated dealer flows experience lower future alpha on average.  Funds that were in the top quartile in terms of receiving affiliated dealer flows on average experienced a reduction in future monthly alpha by 0.2% relative to those funds that did not receive any affiliated dealer flows.   The regression analyses indicate similar findings for stand-alone funds that can be purchased directly, and for fund-of-funds that can and cannot be purchased directly, but there were some differences in these effects at different points in time.

Specific details are described in the body of this report.

 

Executive Summary Glossary

 

Affiliated Dealer: A mutual fund dealer that is an affiliate of an investment fund manager by virtue of one of them being the subsidiary of the other or both of them being subsidiaries of the same company or each of them being controlled by the same person or company.

 

Alpha: The risk adjusted excess performance of the fund in each month. Alpha is calculated based on monthly gross return and Fama-French North America 4 factors.

 

Fund flow (net retail flow):  The fund flows net of pre-authorized contributions plan (PAC), systematic withdrawal plans (SWP), switches in/out, reinvested distributions, affiliated dealer flows, and affiliated investment fund flows [hereafter referred to as ‘net retail flow’].  The net retail flow variable is measured over each fund series/purchase option  – monthly observation in the data, and as a percentage of the prior month’s AUM, in order to make comparative assessments of flow across funds and over time. 

 

Flow Performance Intercept: The monthly fund flow (defined above) that results when the prior month’s alpha is zero.

 

Flow Performance Slope: The additional monthly fund flow (defined above) that results when there is a change in prior month’s alpha.

 

FundSERV Code: The full FundSERV fund code assigned to each fund series/purchase option covered in the sample. If the fund manager did not process fund purchase and sale transactions via FundSERV, then the fund series/purchase option code that they used internally was used. .

 

Funds that can be purchased directly: Funds that include all those FundSERV codes for which the fund manager answered “yes” to the following question in the data request questionnaire: “Can this series/purchase option combination be purchased directly from the fund company (i.e. the fund manager is also registered as a fund dealer or has received exemptive relief to allow purchases directly from investors).”

 

Fund-of-Fund: A mutual fund that invests in other investment funds and is typically sold as a total portfolio solution.

 

Stand-Alone Fund: A mutual fund that typically invests directly in stocks, bonds, commodities, and other non-investment fund securities. It is not sold as a total portfolio solution and usually makes up one of several holdings in the investor’s mutual fund portfolio.

 

Trailer fee:  A commission paid by a fund manager to a dealer on an ongoing basis for as long as the dealer’s clients hold investments in the fund manager’s mutual funds.  It is calculated based on a percentage of the average daily value of units of each fund held by the dealer’s clients and is typically paid to the dealer on a quarterly basis.  The rate of the commission typically varies depending on the asset class of the fund and the purchase option.  This type of fee is referred to a 12-b1 in the United States.

 

 

 

 

 


 

Dissection of Mutual Fund Fees, Flows, and Performance

 

 

Abstract

                                               

This paper provides a dissection of both mutual fund fees and flows into several categories, and presents evidence that relates specific components of fees to flows, and fees and flows to performance.  For stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from fund managers, fees that compensate fund advisors when investors maintain their portfolio positions, and fees that penalize investors for early withdrawal, have a much flatter flow-performance relationship (“flow-performance slope”), and higher flows regardless of past performance (“flow-performance intercept”).  Further, the data indicate that flow-performance intercept and slope are significantly negatively and positively, respectively, related to future risk-adjusted performance, which is consistent with the view that flow-performance provides a strong incentive to generate future returns.  These findings are quite stable over time, and robust to numerous sensitivity checks.  We find some consistency in the evidence but less robust statistical significance amongst the subsamples of direct purchased funds, and among fund-of-funds.

 

Keywords: Mutual Funds, Management Expense Ratio (MER), Trailer Fees, 12b-1s

JEL Codes: G23, G30


 

1. Introduction

Compensation in the mutual fund industry has long been a popular topic rife with controversy.  John Bogle, the founder of the Vanguard index mutual fund, has long argued that a majority of mutual fund managers in the United States (U.S.) do not earn returns that account for their fees (see, e.g., Bogle, 2006).  Other countries like Australia and the United Kingdom have recently engaged in mutual fund fee reforms, including a ban on embedded commissions in 2012.  These reforms have inspired other jurisdictions such as Canada to consider whether or not there are any conflicts of interest in the ways in which mutual fund managers are compensated (CSA, 2012), and if so, exactly how do these conflicts affect the mutual fund industry and its investors.

One potential conflict of interest in mutual fund compensation structures is that investment advisors may have incentives to recommend products to investors for reasons that are not strictly based on the expected risk-adjusted performance (“alpha”) of the investment.  This conflict may arise when fees compensate advisors and managers regardless of performance.  If such a conflict of interest exists, we would observe a market in which flows of investor capital into mutual funds were less sensitive to past performance, and possibly towards funds that have lower risk adjusted performance.  To test this proposition, in the first part of this paper we examine the relationship between past alpha and future fund flows (which we label the “flow-performance slope”), and examine fund flows that are obtained regardless of past alpha (which we label the “flow-performance intercept”).  We empirically consider whether or not flow-performance intercept and slope are moderated by the structure of fund fees.  Higher flow-performance slope means that fund managers are rewarded with additional AUM when past performance is strong, while lower flow-performance slope means that fund managers are relatively more insulated from losses of AUM when past performance is weak.  Large positive values of flow-performance intercept means that fund managers obtain new capital flows each month regardless of past performance.  Higher flow-performance slope incentivizes fund managers to achieve higher alpha, while large positive values of flow-performance intercept mitigate strong incentives to achieve higher alpha.

In the second part of this paper, we empirically examine whether or not fund fee structures and flow-performance intercept and slope have any systematic effect on future alphas.  That is, if fund managers have less incentive to generate alpha to attract capital inflows and mitigate capital outflows then they may in fact achieve lower alphas.  Such effects would benefit some mutual funds at the expense of other mutual funds, and have a detrimental impact on the mutual fund industry overall, and a detrimental effect on its investors.  While there has been much discussion of these possibilities in news media,[2] whether or not such effects actually exist is unknown without examining data.

A major challenge in the analysis of mutual fund fees and their effect on investors involves access to data.  Publicly available data from Morningstar, Bloomberg and other related sources have estimated information on fund flows based on reported net asset values (NAVs), and coarse information on fees that does not enable an accurate analysis of fee structures.  Mutual fund fee structures in some countries like Canada are extremely detailed and complicated.  For example, apart from the publicly available management expense ratios (MERs), there are trading expense ratios (TERs), trailer fees (equivalent to 12b-1s in the U.S.), deferred sales charges, front end commissions, switch fees, performance fees, negotiated management fees, and other payments to broker dealers (other payments that do not qualify as trailer fees, DSC sales commissions or referral fees and that are tied to fund series/purchase type inflows or AUM held in each fund series/purchase type), and some of these items may change over the life of a fund.  Similarly, fund flows cannot be accurately assessed from an examination of NAVs, since total inflows and outflows are comprised of not merely new flows from retail investors but also pre-authorized contributions (PAC), systematic withdrawal plans (SWP), switches, reinvestments, distributions, affiliated dealer flows, and affiliated investment fund flows.  Furthermore, publicly available fund flow information is not available at the FundSERV fund code level.[3]

This paper presents proprietary data obtained directly from mutual funds in Canada that relate detailed mutual fund fee structures to specific types of fund flows, and to performance.[4]  The Canadian context is particularly interesting as there is a very wide array of different components of fees, effectively no competition from foreign funds, and the overall magnitude of fees in Canada has been noted to be rather high relative to other parts of the world (Ruckman, 2003; Khorna et al., 2014).  We examine data that comprises the period 2003-2014, covering 43 fund families, 18,102 stand-alone funds FundSERV codes and 4018 fund-of-funds FundSERV codes, and $746 billion of AUM (of an estimated total of $1.1 trillion) or 66.7% of the market, as well as $152 billion in AUM or 48.6% of the market for fund-of-funds.

The data exhibit a number of insights into flow-performance sensitivity, and how this relationship between prior alpha and future fund flows is moderated by fund fees.  For stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly, the data indicate that funds with higher prior alpha experience higher flows in the next month, such that a 1-standard deviation improvement in past alpha increases subsequent flow by 18.6% relative to the average monthly flow in the sample. Fee-based fund purchase options exhibit significantly higher flow-performance sensitivity, while front-end purchase options, deferred sales charge purchase options, and no load purchase options exhibit significantly lower flow performance slope.  The data indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in trailer fees reduces flow-performance sensitivity by 15.4%.  The data indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in deferred sales charges reduces flow-performance sensitivity by 14.6%.

Further, the data provide a number of insights into the relationship between flow-performance sensitivity, fee structures, and future performance as measured by gross-of-fees alpha. For stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly, the data indicate that 2.5% of funds increased their trailer fees in the sample period, and the comparison of gross alphas pre and post trailer fee change shows that alpha dropped by 32.4% on average.  Similarly, the data indicate that 0.6% of funds decreased their trailer fees in the sample period, with the comparison of gross alphas pre and post trailer fee change showing an increase of 87.9% on average.  In the full sample comparing across both funds and time, the data indicate that flow-performance sensitivity is significantly positively related to future risk-adjusted performance, whereby a 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance sensitivity is associated with an increase in alpha of 4.9% on average.  A 1-standard deviation increase in trailer fees and deferred sales charges is associated with a reduction in future alpha of 5.2% and 2.4%, respectively, on average due to the effect on the flow-performance intercept and slope. 

For stand-alone funds that can be purchased directly[5], and for fund-of-funds, the results are in part consistent with the above results, but with some differences in terms of the statistical significance and the size of the effects.  Those details, among others, are not summarized here but are reported in the body of this paper.

This paper is related to a number of other papers in the academic literature on mutual fund flows in general (Del Guercio and Tkac, 2002; Christofferson et al., 2014), and in particular flows that are related to fee structures.[6]  Prior work has shown that option-like incentive contracts can exacerbate risk taking by fund managers (Starks, 1987).  By contrast, fulcrum fees, or fees that encourage managers to just beat a benchmark lead managers to just buy the benchmark (Admati & Pfleiderer 1997), reduce the reward for good performance or ‘flow-performance sensitivity’ (Heinkel & Stoughton 1994).  Hence, fulcrum fees are rare (Golec, 1992; Elton et al., 2003).  More generally, prior work is consistent with the view that fixed fees and incentive fees significantly vary with fund flows and performance (Warner and Wu, 2011; Deli, 2002; Kuhnen, 2004; Cumming et al., 2015).  The present paper adds to the important stream of literature by providing specific information on different components of fee structures that has not previously been possible with prior datasets, and relating fee structure details to specific types of fund flows that are not estimated from publicly available sources.  To this end, we provide an empirical assessment of the possible and often debated conflicts of interest in respect of different types of fee structures in the mutual fund industry.

This paper is organized as follows.  Section 2 briefly describes the institutional structure of the Canadian mutual fund industry in terms of fees and flows.  Section 3 introduces the data and provides summary statistics.  Section 4 presents empirical tests.  Conclusions follow in Section 5.

2. Institutional Structure of Mutual Funds Purchase Options, Fees, and Flows in Canada

Mutual funds in Canada comprise fund families, which are groups of funds, and within each fund there are numerous series and purchase option types available, each identified by their FundSERV fund code.  Much publicly available information on mutual fund data from Canada is not available at the series/purchase option type level.  Likewise, specific details on fees and flows are not publicly available or are not publicly available in an easily downloadable form from data vendors.

Mutual funds can be purchased in one of four primary options.  The No Load (NL) purchase option does not include a front end commission nor can it attract deferred sales charges but it does pay a trailer fee to the fund dealer.  The Deferred Sales Charge (DSC) purchase option (which includes low load purchase options) requires the investor to pay a redemption fee to the fund company if the units are sold before a predetermined period has elapsed. The fund dealer receives an upfront commission directly from the fund company under this option as well as a trailer fee.  The Front End (FE) or initial sales charge purchase option allows the fund dealer the option of charging a negotiable front end commission directly upon initial sale and the fund dealer also receives a trailer fee.  The Fee Based (FB) purchase option does not allow for a front end commission to be charged, and it cannot attract deferred sales charges and there are no trailer fees paid to the dealer. Instead, the dealer charges fees directly to the investor’s account. High net worth or institutional series/purchase options where there is no front end commission, deferred sales charge or trailer fee paid are also reported as fee-based.

Mutual fund fees in Canada encompass more than just the publicly available management expense ratios (MERs).  Fees also comprise trading expenses, trailer fees, deferred sales charges, front end commissions, switch fees, performance fees, negotiated management fees, and other payments to dealers.  Some of these items change over the life of a fund.  The stated purpose of trailer fees is to compensate the advisor’s dealer firm each year for the ongoing investment services and advice they provide to investors.[7]  Trailer fees are paid at the same rate in perpetuity among some funds, and sometimes either increase or decrease over time among different funds.  Switch fees are fees that apply to investors when they switch from one fund to another within the same fund family.

Publicly available data on Canadian mutual fund flows from Morningstar and Bloomberg are estimated based on changes in NAVs.  However, there are many components of flow that vary widely and have little to do with direct retail investor incentives.  In many cases, there are pre-authorized contributions (PAC) from investor and employer accounts, just as there are systematic withdrawal plans (SWP).  Many flows are merely switches within the same fund family.  Changes in NAV may likewise be attributable to fund reinvestments or distributions to unit holders.  Finally, there are flows that are specific to affiliated dealers, and affiliated investment funds. 

Some mutual funds in Canada must be purchased through an advisor or intermediary, while others may be purchased directly from the fund company (although when buying directly, the person the investor deals with would still be considered an advisor).  The advice provided may significantly influence flows.

3. Data and Summary Statistics

3.1 Description of the Data

            The data were collected on behalf of the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) with the assistance of the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) in 2015.[8]  The sample comprises the period 2003-2014, including 43 fund families of 113 in total in Canada or 38.1% of the market, and covering $746 billion of AUM (of an estimated total of $1.1 trillion) or 66.7% of the market,[9] as well as $152 billion in AUM for fund-of-funds or 51.5% of the $295 billion market at the end of 2014 (estimated by Investor Economics). More specifically, the sample comprises 18,102 FundSERV codes[10] for stand-alone funds and 4018 fund-of-funds FundSERV codes, or 22,077 FundSERV codes in total, compared to the 16,752 FundSERV codes from fundlibrary.com[11] and 12,300 FundSERV codes from fundata.com,[12] both of which state they have the most comprehensive mutual fund datasets in Canada.  In total, the sample comprises more than 1 million monthly FundSERV code observations on fees, flows, and performance, where a FundSERV code is used to identify a fund series/purchase option combination.  We treat fund-of-funds separately, as it is possible that their flows, fee structures, management structures, operations and managerial incentives are significantly different relative to stand-alone mutual funds that make direct investments into companies.  We carried out some comparison tests with publicly available data for the representativeness of the respondent fund families by examining publicly available data such as location and ratings, and did not find any statistically significant differences.  For reasons of confidentiality and to make sure no fund identity can be reverse engineered, we do not present specific information on fund families.

            Table 1 defines the main variables from the data.  The first key variable in Table 1 is the fund flows net of pre-authorized contributions (PAC), systematic withdrawal plans (SWP), switches, reinvestments, distributions, affiliated dealer flows, and affiliated investment fund flows [hereafter referred to as ‘net retail flow’].  The net retail flow variable is measured over each FundSERV code – monthly observation in the data, and as a percentage of the prior month’s FundSERV AUM, in order to make comparative assessments of flow across funds and over time.  Table 1 indicates that the FundSERV code monthly observation shows an average net retail flow for stand-alone funds of -1.87%, with a median of 0.00%, and standard deviation of 8.64%, and an average net flow for fund-of-funds of -6.30% with a median of -0.35% and standard deviation of 13.49%.  Including all types of inflows and outflows, the average monthly flow for stand-alone funds was -0.50%, median -0.02%, and standard deviation 7.99%, and average fund-of-funds was -2.73%, median -0.14%, and standard deviation 11.08%.  The average flows attributable to PAC and SWP for stand-alone funds (fund-of-funds) were 0.03%




Table 1. Variable Definitions and Summary Statistics

This table provides defines the main variables in the dataset and provides summary statistics for the number of fund-month observations (Obs.) between January 2003 and December 2014, and means, medians, and standard deviations (Std. Dev.).

Stand-alone funds

Fund of Funds

Variable

Definition

Obs.

Mean

Median

Std. Dev.

Obs.

Mean

Median

Std. Dev.

Fund Flow and Performance Variables

Flows Net of PAC, SWP, Switches, Reinvestments, Distributions, and Affiliated Dealer and Affiliated Investment Funds

Total monthly flows net of total monthly pre-authorized contribution (PAC) inflows, total monthly systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) outflows, switches in and switches out, reinvested distributions and distributions to unit holders, and affiliated dealer and affiliated investment funds inflows and outflows) / assets under management at start of month

1102377

-0.0187

0

0.0864

294232

-0.0630

-0.0035

0.1349

All Inflows - All Outflows

(Total monthly inflows - total month outflows) / assets under management at start of month

1102377

-0.005

-0.0002

0.0799

294232

-0.0273

-0.0014

0.1108

PAC Inflows - SWP Outflows

(Total monthly pre-authorized contribution (PAC) inflows - total monthly systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) outflows) / assets under management at start of month

1102377

0.0003

0

0.001

294232

0.0002

0

0.0008

Switches In - Switches Out

(Total monthly switches in - total monthly switches out) / assets under management at start of the month

1102377

0.0022

0

0.0159

294232

0.0037

0

0.0181

Reinvested Distributions - Paid Distributions

(Total reinvested distributions - distributions to unit holders) / assets under management at start of month

1102377

-0.0002

0

0.0013

294232

0.0012

0

0.0033

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

(Total affiliated dealer inflows - total affiliated dealer outflows) / assets under management at start of month

1102377

0.0018

0

0.0069

294232

0.0029

0.0001

0.0092

Affiliated Investment Funds Inflows - Outflows

(Total affiliated investment fund inflows - total affiliated investment fund outflows) / assets under management at start of month

1102377

0.0057

0

0.0398

294232

0.0159

0

0.0609

Alpha

Alpha is calculated based on monthly gross return and Fama-French North America 4 factors. Monthly gross returns are winsorized at 1% level; Fama-French 4 factors (market, SMB, HML and WML) and risk-free rate come from Kenneth R. French - Data Library.

1010575

0.2502

0.2492

0.7433

264199

0.1321

0.001

0.5666

Purchase Option Variables

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

A dummy variable equal to 1 if the purchase option requires the investor to pay a redemption fee if the units are sold before a predetermined period has elapsed.

1209285

0.4579

0

0.4975

308336

0.3690

0

0.4567

Purchase Option Front End

A dummy variable equal to 1 for fund series that charge a front end (FE) or initial sales charge - the purchase option allows the fund dealer the option of charging a negotiable front end commission directly upon initial sale.

1209285

0.3956

0

0.4874

308336

0.2501

0

0.4007

Purchase Option Fee Based

A dummy variable equal to 1 for feed based (FB) if the purchase option does not allow for a front end commission to be charged, it cannot attract deferred sales charges and there are no trailer fees paid to the dealer. Fee based options where there is a default trailer fee triggered (also sometimes termed a service fee) if the investor does not opt out are reported as no load. High net worth or institutional series/purchase options where there is no front end commission, deferred sales charge or trailer fee paid are also reported as fee-based.

1209285

0.0835

0

0.2743

308336

0.2288

0

0.3873

Purchase Option No Load

A dummy variable equal to 1 for no load (NL) when the purchase option does not include a front end commission nor can it attract deferred sales charges but it does pay a trailer fee to the fund dealer. Do-it-yourself or discount brokerage ("D series") purchase options are also be reported as a no load purchase option if they pay a trailer fee but do not pay a front end commission nor charge a deferred sales charge.

1209285

0.0629

0

0.2408

308336

0.1521

0

0.3275

Table 1 (Continued)

Stand-alone funds

Fund of Funds

Variable

Definition

Obs.

Mean

Median

Std. Dev.

Obs.

Mean

Median

Std. Dev.

Minimum Purchase Amount

The minimum initial investment amount in dollars for the series/purchase option as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase.

1209285

78970

500

460110.84

308336

10335

500

130544.94

Fund Expense Variables

 

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

The deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 1.

1209285

4.7928

5.5

1.5246

308336

4.2111

5.5

2.0585

 

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

The average of the percentage change in deferred sales charges from one period to the next.

868685

-0.186

-0.1831

0.0486

299778

-0.1488

-0.2031

0.0939

 

Sales Commission for Deferred Sales Charge

The sales commission rate paid by the fund company to the fund dealer as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase.

1209285

1.6704

0

2.1481

308336

0.4838

0

1.3345

 

Maximum Front End Commission

The maximum front end commission rate as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase.

1209285

1.7338

0

2.3883

308336

0.9815

0

2.0542

 

Front End Commissions Paid

The total amount of front end commissions paid each month divided by assets under management at the start of the month.

1102377

0.0196

0

0.0871

294232

0.1065

0.0037

0.176

 

Maximum Posted Switch Fee

The maximum switch fee rate as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase.

1209285

1.9964

2

0.083

308336

1.6108

2

0.7918

 

Performance Fee

The percentage incentive fee charged by the fund manager to the fund.

1209285

0.0845

0

0.561

308336

0

0

0

 

Negotiated Management Fees Paid

Where the management fees of a particular fund series/purchase option are typically negotiated, the total amount of management fees received each month, divided by assets under management at the start of the month. This amount includes any payments made to the fund and any payments made directly to the fund company (or an affiliate) for fund management.

1102377

0.0244

0

0.0909

294232

0.0861

0

0.1655

 

Management Expense Ratio

The management expense ratio (MER) after waivers and absorptions as reported in the management report of fund performance (or the financial statements before 2006) at the time of purchase. Please refer to National Instrument 81-106 part 15 for the calculation.

1110152

2.0736

2.1604

0.6552

251669

1.9686

2.0258

0.5988

 

Trading Expense Ratio

The trading expense ratio (%) for the fund series/purchase option as reported in the management report of fund performance at the time of purchase. For periods before 2006, please calculate (estimates are acceptable) and report the TER as outlined in National Instrument 81-106F1.

1209285

1.3137

0.2467

2.3835

308336

0.6946

0.25

1.6239

 

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer

For "FE", "DSC", or "NL" as the purchase option type, the maximum trailer fee annualized rate that applied to assets held during the period reported.

1110152

0.5823

0.5

0.3628

251669

0.689

0.75

0.3302

 

Trailer Slope

The average of the percentage change in the trailer fee from one period to the next.

1074741

0.0664

0

0.1644

251360

-0.049

0

0.3601

 

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers

The total amount of payments made each month to dealer-brokers that do not qualify as trailer fees, DSC sales commissions or referral fees and that are tied to fund series/purchase type inflows or assets under management held in each fund series/purchase type, divided by assets under management at the start of each period.

1102377

0

0

0.0001

294232

0

0

0

 


 


(0.02%), average flows attributable to switches were 0.22% (0.37%), attributable to reinvestments and distributions were -0.02% (0.12%), affiliated dealer flows were 0.18% (0.29%), and affiliated investment fund flows were 0.57% (1.59%).

            Table 1 further indicates that the average 12-month Fama-French 4-factor alpha in the sample is 0.25% for stand-alone funds (and 0.13% for fund-of-funds), with a median of 0.25% (0.001% for fund of funds), and standard deviation of 0.74% (0.57% for fund of funds).[13]  To the best of our ability and fund companies’ ability to provide the data, we have created a survivorship bias free dataset by including live and defunct FundSERV codes.[14]

            A total of 45.8% of the monthly observations in the sample comprise funds purchased under deferred sales charges for stand-alone funds (36.9% for fund-of-funds), while 39.7% (25.0% for fund-of-funds) were purchased under front end, 8.4% (22.9% for fund of funds) purchased under fee based, and 6.3% (15.2% for fund of funds) purchased under no load.

            Table 1 provides definitions and summary statistics for fee variables.  The summary statistics for the fee variables in Table 1 are indicated for the full sample of monthly fund observations across all purchase options.  For stand-alone funds (fund-of-funds), the average maximum posted initial trailer for the entire sample of month-year observations is 0.58% (0.69%), with a median of 0.50% (0.75%) and a standard deviation of 0.36% (0.33%).  Appendix I provides the information across each purchase option.  Appendix I Table I.1 shows that for stand-alone funds (Panel A), the average maximum posted initial trailer fee was 0.45% for deferred sales charge purchase options, 0.72% for front-end load, and 0.65% for no load.  Subsequent trailer fees on average are higher for deferred sales charge purchase options and front-end purchase options, and lower for no load purchase options, as indicated by the trailer slope variable. Among the fund-of-funds (Panel B), the average maximum posted initial trailer fee is 0.53% for deferred sales charge purchase options, 0.81% for front-end load, and 0.85% for no load, and subsequent trailers are lower for these funds. 

            Table 1 shows that for stand-alone funds (fund-of-funds), the average initial deferred sales charge for the entire sample of month-year observations is 4.79% (4.21%), with a median of 5.50% (5.50%) and a standard deviation of 1.52% (2.06%).  The data indicate subsequent years deferred sales charges are lower (as indicated by the deferred sales charge slope variable).  

Table 1 shows that for stand-alone funds (fund-of-funds), the average MER in the -monthly observations in the sample is 2.07% (1.97%), with a median of 2.16% (2.02%), and a standard deviation of 0.66% (0.60%).[15]  A number of other details pertaining to fees are summarized in Table 1 and in Appendix I.

 

3.2. Comparison Tests across All Fund Months

While comparison tests do not enable conclusive statements (they do not control for other things being equal), we present some comparison of means and medians tests in Table 2 to show some patterns in the data.  The comparisons are across all fund-month observations in the dataset, and hence the comparisons are crude and inconclusive. Net flows and alphas for each purchase option are compared to net flows and alphas for the rest of the sample. Similarly, we group the sample into above and below median along each fee variable and then net flows and alphas are compared. The more formal econometric tests are provided in the next subsection.

Amongst the stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company (Table 2 Panel A), the data indicate deferred sales charges have significantly lower flows, and the average flow is significantly lower at the 10% level, while the median flow is significantly lower at the 5% level of significance.[16]  Funds with higher trading expense ratios, higher maximum posted initial trailers, and higher deferred sales charges have higher median and average flows, and these differences are significant at the 1% level.  Funds with increasing subsequent trailer fees, and funds with higher minimum purchase amounts have lower average and median flows, and these differences are significant at the 1% level.

Stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly (Table 2 Panel A) with lower trading expense ratios, and funds with lower minimum initial purchase amounts have significantly higher average and median alphas (significant at the 1% level).  Funds with a no load purchase option have higher average and median alphas (significant at the 1% and 5% levels, respectively).


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2. Comparison of Means and Medians Tests for New Flows and Alpha

 

This table presents comparison of means and medians for Alphas and inflows Net of PAC, SWP, Switches, Reinvestments, Distributions, and Affiliated Dealer and Affiliated Investment Funds. Alpha is calculated based on monthly gross return and Fama-French North America 4 factors. Monthly gross returns are winsorized at 1% level; Fama-French 4 factors (market, SMB, HML and WML) and risk-free rate come from Kenneth R. French - Data Library. Average/median net flows and alpha are first calculated at individual fund level then averaged out across the whole data-set. Fund of funds are excluded in this table..  *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. N/A is used when at least one of the comparison pairs has insufficient observations.          

 

 

Panel A. Stand-Alone Funds where series cannot be purchased directly from the fund company.

 

 

 

Average Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

Average Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

 

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.034

-0.015

-1.870*

-0.034

-0.014

-1.990**

0.235

0.225

0.320

0.220

0.230

-0.350

Purchase Option Front End

-0.013

-0.029

1.470

-0.012

-0.029

1.550

0.204

0.243

-1.280

0.222

0.228

-0.200

Purchase Option Fee Based

-0.029

-0.023

-0.360

-0.029

-0.022

-0.390

0.235

0.229

0.130

0.221

0.226

-0.110

Purchase Option No Load

-0.012

-0.024

0.440

-0.011

-0.023

0.470

0.429

0.222

2.730***

0.410

0.219

2.550**

Management Expense Ratio

-0.030

-0.033

0.490

-0.027

-0.029

0.290

0.181

0.194

-0.980

0.182

0.207

-1.960**

Trading Expense Ratio

-0.011

-0.047

6.330***

-0.006

-0.047

7.350***

0.157

0.188

-2.610***

0.145

0.206

-4.950***

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer

-0.003

-0.055

3.420***

-0.003

-0.056

3.460***

0.237

0.266

-0.790

0.238

0.257

-0.510

Trailer Slope

-0.016

0.009

-3.080***

-0.016

0.006

-2.900***

0.229

0.235

-0.190

0.229

0.245

-0.520

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

-0.005

-0.046

3.840***

-0.004

-0.046

4.030***

0.241

0.205

1.270

0.244

0.194

1.780*

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.038

-0.012

-1.520

-0.037

-0.008

-1.760*

0.223

0.236

-0.280

0.212

0.239

-0.600

Sales Commission for Deferred Sales Charge

-0.034

0.000

N/A

-0.033

0.000

N/A

0.229

0.000

N/A

0.218

0.000

N/A

Maximum Front End Commission

-0.014

0.000

N/A

-0.013

0.000

N/A

0.194

0.000

N/A

0.211

0.000

N/A

Maximum Posted Switch Fee

0.000

-0.007

N/A

0.000

-0.006

N/A

0.000

0.009

N/A

0.000

-0.011

N/A

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers

-0.007

0.000

N/A

-0.007

0.000

N/A

0.249

0.000

N/A

0.192

0.000

N/A

Front End Commissions Paid

-0.018

0.000

N/A

-0.013

0.000

N/A

0.267

0.000

N/A

0.323

0.000

N/A

Performance Fee

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

Negotiated Management Fees Paid

-0.035

0.000

N/A

-0.035

0.000

N/A

0.306

0.000

N/A

0.219

0.000

N/A

Minimum Purchase Amount

-0.046

0.007

-5.550***

-0.045

0.008

-5.580***

0.180

0.304

-4.440***

0.174

0.295

-4.440***

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2 (Continued)

Panel B. Stand-Alone Funds where series can be purchased directly from the fund company.

 

 

 

 

Average Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

Average Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

 

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

0.000

-0.001

N/A

0.000

-0.004

N/A

0.000

0.118

N/A

0.000

0.109

N/A

Purchase Option Front End

0.005

-0.002

0.650

-0.001

-0.005

-0.170

0.142

0.113

0.280

0.103

0.111

-0.070

Purchase Option Fee Based

0.000

-0.001

N/A

0.000

-0.004

N/A

0.000

0.118

N/A

0.000

0.109

N/A

Purchase Option No Load

-0.008

0.006

-0.710

-0.008

-0.001

-0.490

0.095

0.140

-0.600

0.099

0.120

-0.290

Management Expense Ratio

0.009

-0.002

1.120

0.000

-0.002

0.530

0.150

0.138

0.270

0.140

0.161

-0.460

Trading Expense Ratio

0.006

0.005

0.100

0.004

-0.002

0.980

0.214

0.178

0.610

0.241

0.130

2.050**

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer

-0.006

-0.007

0.030

-0.002

-0.009

0.210

0.034

0.061

-0.320

0.062

0.058

0.040

Trailer Slope

-0.001

0.023

-0.420

-0.004

0.034

-0.520

0.133

0.357

-0.920

0.130

0.390

-1.040

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

0.000

0.005

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.160

N/A

0.000

0.155

N/A

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

0.004

-0.013

0.690

0.000

-0.012

0.380

0.112

0.010

1.480

0.087

0.027

0.830

Sales Commission for Deferred Sales Charge

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

Maximum Front End Commission

0.005

0.000

N/A

-0.001

0.000

N/A

0.142

0.000

N/A

0.103

0.000

N/A

Maximum Posted Switch Fee

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

Front End Commissions Paid

0.004

0.000

N/A

-0.001

0.000

N/A

0.245

0.000

N/A

0.193

0.000

N/A

Performance Fee

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

0.000

0.000

N/A

Negotiated Management Fees Paid

-0.007

-0.008

0.040

-0.023

-0.005

-0.530

0.537

0.039

3.820***

0.701

0.047

4.560***

Minimum Purchase Amount

-0.001

0.000

N/A

-0.002

0.000

N/A

0.134

0.000

N/A

0.219

0.000

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2 (Continued)

Panel C. Fund of funds where series cannot be purchased directly from the fund company.

 

 

 

Average Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

Average Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

 

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.0040

-0.0056

4.51***

0.0000

0.0000

-0.0200

0.2949

0.2993

-1.86*

0.2548

0.2539

0.3900

Purchase Option Front End

-0.0025

-0.0063

10.17***

0.0000

0.0000

-1.0800

0.3126

0.2900

9.28***

0.2816

0.2537

11.88***

Purchase Option Fee Based

-0.0139

-0.0035

-20.48***

0.0000

0.0000

-0.1600

0.2948

0.2981

-1.00

0.2336

0.2545

-6.65***

Purchase Option No Load

-0.0058

-0.0049

- 1.65*

0.0000

0.0000

0.6200

0.2906

0.2985

-2.16**

0.2539

0.2543

0.1300

Management Expense Ratio

-0.0062

-0.0033

- 8.19***

0.0000

0.0000

-0.9200

0.2866

0.3127

-11.17***

0.2524

0.2551

-1.2100

Trading Expense Ratio

-0.0048

-0.0058

2.87***

0.0000

0.0000

-1.4900

0.3137

0.2870

11.39***

0.2558

0.2510

2.16**

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer

-0.0072

0.0031

-28.85***

0.0000

0.0000

-0.8400

0.2902

0.3062

-4.92***

0.2523

0.2561

 -1.20

Trailer Slope

-0.0052

-0.0005

 -4.62 ***

0.0000

-0.0001

1.14

0.3099

0.0244

 43.25***

0.2561

-0.0025

 41.47***

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

-0.0190

-0.0121

-6.71***

0.0000

-0.0001

1.38

0.2265

0.2856

 -15.17***

0.1144

0.2539

 -38.29***

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.0074

-0.0020

-13.21***

-0.0001

0.0009

-9.80***

0.3186

0.3298

 -4.34 ***

0.2576

0.2598

 -0.88

Sales Commission for Deferred Sales Charge

-0.0030

0.0000

N/A

0.0000

0.0000

N/A

0.2982

0.0000

N/A

0.2545

0.0000

N/A

Maximum Front End Commission

-0.0046

0.0000

N/A

0.0000

0.0000

N/A

0.2897

0.0000

N/A

0.2467

0.0000

N/A

Maximum Posted Switch Fee

0.0000

0.0500

N/A

0.0000

0.0355

N/A

0.0000

0.0020

N/A

0.0000

0.0025

N/A

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers

-0.0197

0.0000

N/A

0.0000

0.0000

N/A

0.3490

0.0000

N/A

0.3519

0.0000

N/A

Front End Commissions Paid

-0.0191

0.0000

N/A

0.0000

0.0000

N/A

0.2500

0.0000

N/A

0.1433

0.0000

N/A

Performance Fee

-0.0123

0.0000

N/A

-0.0085

0.0000

N/A

0.3204

0.0000

N/A

0.2996

0.0000

N/A

Negotiated Management Fees Paid

-0.0192

0.0000

N/A

0.0000

0.0000

N/A

0.3534

0.0000

N/A

0.3758

0.0000

N/A

Minimum Purchase Amount

-0.0061

0.0011

-22.27***

0.0000

0.0001

-3.34***

0.1936

0.4155

 -85.05***

0.1788

0.4073

 -88.67***

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2 (Continued)

Panel D. Fund of funds where series can be purchased directly from the fund company.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Net Flows With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Net Flows Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

Average Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Average Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Means

Median Alpha With This Purchase Option, or Above Median for Fee Levels

Median Alpha Without This Purchase Option, or Below Median for Fee Levels

Comparison of Medians

 

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

0.0142

-0.0053

 35.25***

0.0031

-0.0003

14.69 ***

0.1632

0.2728

 -43.71 ***

0.0046

0.2849

 -126.58***

Purchase Option Front End

0.0062

0.0021

 11.10 ***

0.0004

0.0002

  2.00**

0.1848

0.2430

 -21.60 ***

0.0533

0.1472

-45.11 ***

Purchase Option Fee Based

-0.0140

0.0072

 -21.19 ***

-0.0034

0.0014

 -10.01***

0.4431

0.1739

 84.04 ***

0.6166

0.0089

242.45 ***

Purchase Option No Load

-0.0428

0.0061

 -17.58***

-0.0064

0.0005

 -6.43***

0.1071

0.2314

 -22.50***

0.0006

0.1312

 -29.91***

Management Expense Ratio

0.0000

0.0142

 -29.96***

0.0000

0.0040

-15.82 ***

0.2883

0.1178

 64.35 ***

0.3350

0.0001

130.30***

Trading Expense Ratio

0.0054

0.0326

 -19.02***

0.0009

0.0121

 -12.97 ***

0.3659

0.0817

 85.16 ***

0.4028

-0.0015

 141.39***

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer

-0.0057

0.0212

 -38.27***

-0.0001

0.0041

 -15.12 ***

0.2755

0.1581

 44.04 ***

0.2878

0.0027

 121.68***

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

0.0216

0.0289

 -3.84***

0.0028

0.0097

 -6.47***

0.3403

0.0650

76.70***

0.3702

-0.0019

 136.35 ***

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

0.0279

-0.0223

53.32 ***

0.0072

-0.0062

 27.33 ***

0.1031

0.3353

 -93.47***

-0.0001

0.4552

 -180.90***

Sales Commission for Deferred Sales Charge

0.0139

0000

N/A

0.0040

0000

N/A

0.1415

0000

N/A

0.0009

0000

N/A

Maximum Front End Commission

0.0062

0000

N/A

0.0004

0000

N/A

0.1848

0000

N/A

0.0533

0000

N/A

Maximum Posted Switch Fee

0000

-0.0152

N/A

0000

-0.0155

N/A

0000

0.0592

N/A

0000

0.0172

N/A

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers

0000

0000

N/A

0000

0000

N/A

0000

0000

N/A

0000

0000

N/A

Front End Commissions Paid

-0.0077

0.0313

N/A

-0.0007

0.0098

N/A

0.2330

0.1032

N/A

0.2468

-0.0004

N/A

Negotiated Management Fees Paid

0.0408

0000

N/A

0.0190

0000

N/A

0.0620

0000

N/A

-0.0018

0000

N/A

Minimum Purchase Amount

0.0179

0.0236

 -5.62***

0.0040

0.0060

-4.00***

0.3293

0.1327

  65.57***

0.3456

0.0016

 127.97***


 


            Amongst the fund series that can be purchased directly from the fund company (Table 2 Panel B), funds with a higher trading expense ratio have higher median alphas (significant at the 5% level) and funds with higher negotiated management fees paid have higher alphas.  The other differences in Panel B are not statistically significant.

Table 2 Panel C shows higher average monthly fund flows for deferred sales charges, front end purchase options, and funds with higher trading expense ratios, and lower average monthly flows for fee based and no load purchase options, as well as for funds with higher management expense ratios, higher initial trailers, higher subsequent trailers, funds with higher initial deferred sales charges, funds with increasing subsequent deferred sales charges, and funds with lower minimum purchase amounts; however, these differences are only significant in medians for increasing deferred sales charges and for funds with higher minimum purchase amounts.

Table 2 Panel C shows fund-of-funds that cannot be purchased directly have higher alphas among funds with front end purchase options, lower management expense ratios, higher trading expense ratios, lower maximum posted initial trailer fees, increasing subsequent trailers, lower initial deferred sales charges, lower subsequent deferred sales charges, and lower initial purchase amounts.  Average alphas are lower among fund-of-funds with no load purchase options and deferred sales charge options  Median alphas are higher amongst fund-of-funds with front end purchase options.  Median alphas are lower among fund-of-funds with fee based purchase options, and funds with higher minimum purchase amounts.

Table 2 Panel D shows fund-of-funds that can be purchased directly have higher average and median monthly flows when they have deferred sales purchase options, front end purchase options, higher subsequent deferred sales charges, and lower minimum purchase amounts.  Fund-of-funds with fee-based and no load purchase options, higher management expense ratios, trading expense ratios, higher maximum posted initial trailers, and higher initial deferred sales charges have lower average and median monthly flows.  Table 2 Panel D further shows fund-of-funds that can be purchased directly have higher average and median alphas when they have fee based purchase options, higher management expense ratios, higher trading expense ratios, higher maximum posted initial trailers, higher initial deferred sales charges, lower subsequent deferred sales charges, and higher minimum purchase amounts.  Fund-of-funds that can be purchased directly with no-load, deferred sales charge, and front end purchase options have lower average and median alphas.

As mentioned, it is important to keep in mind that these tests in Table 2 are not presented to be conclusive, as they do not control for other things being equal.  The Table 2 tests simply compare averages and medians of all monthly-fund observations in the data, and show some general patterns.  In section 4, we provide regression evidence to make a more accurate assessment of the patterns in the data.  But first, in subsection 3 we examine comparison tests for a subset of the funds that made permanent changes to fees over time.

3.3. Comparison Tests for the Subset of Funds that Permanently Changed Trailer Fees

More precise comparison tests are provided in Figure 1.  Comparison tests in Figure 1 are more precise than those in Table 2 because Figure 1 focuses on the narrow same set of funds that changed their trailer fees over time (and hence fund characteristics are kept constant because we examine the same funds at different points in time), while Table 2 did not keep other fund characteristics constant.  The data in Figure 1 indicate that 2.5% of funds permanently increased


Figure 1. Abnormal return associated with permanent first year trailer fee jumps (drops)

We analyzed the funds that changed trailer fee in Year 1 over the sample horizon. The total sample contains 22077 different funds; among which, 559 or 2.5% of funds have increased their trailer fee in year 1; 123 or around 0.6% of funds have reduced their trailer fee in year 1. We tracked the fund performance before and after trailer fee changes. In the following two graphs, the horizontal axes show the event month, where the trailer fee change happens in month 0. The vertical axes show the average (median) alpha by each event month for the funds that changed their trailer fees in Year 1. We restrict the sample to funds that have both at least 6 month observations before the event month and at least 24 month observations after the event month.

                      

 

 

Average Alpha (%)

Median Alpha (%)

Average Trailer Fee (%)

Median Trailer Fee (%)

Number of Observations

Before Trailer Fee Jumps Up

0.4574964

0.6386917

0.3915385

0.25

390

After Trailer Fee Jumps Up

0.3090701

0.3325039

0.7830769

0.75

1560

Before Trailer Fee Drops Down

0.0910279

0.0479736

0.4266667

0.5

162

After Trailer Fee Drops Down

0.1714698

0.0893781

0.2736566

0.25

648

 

 

 

 

Alpha Standard Deviation

Alpha Standard Error

T Statistics   (P Value)[17]

Rank Sum

Expected

Z Statistics  (P Value)[18]

Before Trailer Fee Jumps Up

0.5100784

0.0258288

5.0412   (0000)

451021

380445

7.096  (0000)

After Trailer Fee Jumps Up

0.5582225

0.0141333

1451204

1521780

Before Trailer Fee Drops Down

0.4195134

0.0329601

-2.2196   (0.0274)

57408

65691

-3.11  ( 0.0019)

After Trailer Fee Drops Down

0.3836185

0.015070

271047

262764


their trailer fees in the sample period, and fees increased from an average of 0.39% to 0.78%. Comparison tests of the alphas for these funds from the 6-month prior fee change period to the 24 month post fee change period show alpha dropped by 32.4% on average and this difference is statistically significant at the 1% level. The data in Figure 1 further indicate that 0.6% of funds permanently decreased their trailer fees in the sample period from an average of 0.43% to 0.27%. Comparison tests of the alphas for these funds from the 6-month prior fee change period to the 24 month post fee change period show alpha increased by 88.4% on average, and this difference is statistically significant at the 1% level.

4. Regression Analyses

            This section first presents flow-performance regressions of monthly flows in subsection 4.1.  Thereafter subsection 4.2 presents regression analyses of yearly alphas.

4.1. Flow-Performance Regression Analyses

Table 3 presents regression analyses of fund flows relative to past performance for all of the funds in the data.  The basic model specification is as follows:

Flowt+1 = Constant + β1 * Alphat + β2 * Alpha2t + β3 * Purchase Option Dummy + β4 * Purchase Option Dummy * Alphat + β5 * controls + residuals

The regression is estimated as a panel model with random effects across each fund series/purchase option (FundSERV code) and month.[19]    Random effects are used in Table 3 and not fixed effects because some of the right-hand-side variables are time invariant.  Standard errors are clustered by FundSERV code (Petersen, 2009).[20]  The results are robust to not clustering or clustering on different variables. The dependent variable in Table 3 is the total monthly inflows minus outflows, net of total monthly pre-authorized contribution (PAC) inflows, total monthly systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) outflows, switches in and switches out, reinvested distributions and distributions to unit holders, and affiliated dealer and affiliated investment fund inflows and outflows, and divided by AUM at start of month.  Models 1-5 in Table 3 are presented for the subset of funds that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, and Models 6-7 are presented for the subset of funds that can be purchased directly from the fund company.  The different models include different right-hand-side variables to show robustness to different specifications and possible collinearity effects.  We do not present all purchase options together in the same model since that would create perfect collinearity problems.  The excluded purchase option variable(s) in each model means that the coefficients are estimating the impact of the included variables relative to the excluded purchase option variables.  Models 6-7 do not include the more complete set of all variables as in Model 5 because there are fewer observations for the purchase option directly from the fund company less variation amongst the sample to enable including all of the other variables. 


 


Table 3. Regression Analysis of Flow For All Purchase Options

 

This table presents unbalanced FundSERV random effects panel regressions of the determinants of the percentage fund net flow (one period ahead).  The dependent variable is Flows Net of PAC, SWP, Switches, Reinvestments, Distributions, and Affiliated Dealer and Affiliated Investment Funds.  Explanatory variables include alphas, purchase options (deferred sales charge, front end, fee based and no load), and interaction terms with purchase options and lagged alphas.  Variables are as defined in Table 1.  Standard errors are clusted by FundSERV code.  T-statistics are in parentheses.  *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

 

Panel A. Stand-Alone Funds

 

Series Cannot be Purchased Directly from the fund company (Models 1 - 5)

Series Can be Purchased Directly from the fund company (Models 6 - 7)

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Model 7

Alpha Lagged

0.00148***

0.00103***

0.00107***

0.00119***

0.00250***

0.00370***

0.00354***

 

(14.66)

(10.66)

(13.80)

(15.49)

(10.80)

(12.36)

(7.68)

Alpha Lagged ^2

-0.0000172

-0.0000109

-0.0000152

-0.00000403

-0.00000486

0.000685***

0.000608***

 

(-0.43)

(-0.27)

(-0.38)

(-0.10)

(-0.12)

(4.17)

(3.70)

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.00355***

-0.00411**

0.106***

 

(-3.42)

(-2.41)

(20.46)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.000719***

-0.00174***

0.000873

 

(-4.86)

(-6.82)

(1.27)

Purchase Option Front End

0.00114

-0.00144

0.105***

 

(1.07)

(-0.83)

(17.57)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

0.000309**

-0.00116***

0.00156**

 

(2.05)

(-4.50)

(2.28)

Purchase Option Fee Based

-0.00178

0.0681***

 

(-0.96)

(11.77)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Fee Based

0.00143***

0.00127*

 

(4.60)

(1.65)

Purchase Option No Load

0.00629***

0.00363

0.0968***

 

(2.91)

(1.39)

(17.54)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

-0.000825**

-0.00214***

-0.00341***

 

(-2.27)

(-5.05)

(-3.50)

Constant

-0.00362***

-0.00562***

-0.00504***

-0.00555***

-0.00301*

-0.0669***

-0.107***

 

(-5.08)

(-8.05)

(-8.88)

(-9.80)

(-1.93)

(-28.45)

(-38.63)

Number of Observations

802078

802078

802078

802078

802078

164078

164078

Number of Groups

14357

14357

14357

14357

14357

2407

2407

R2 within

0.0003

0.0003

0.0003

0.0003

0.0004

0.0015

0.0015

R2 between

0.0013

0.0006

0.0009

0.0006

0.0014

0.0562

0.2343

R2 overall

0.0002

0.0003

0.0004

0.0003

0.0001

0.048

0.1385

Wald Chi2

280.55***

249.26***

265.36***

256.44***

316.29***

398.55***

992.81***

 

 

Table 3. (Continued)

Panel B. Fund-of-Funds

Series Can be Purchased Directly from the fund company (Models 6 - 7)

Series Cannot be Purchased Directly from the fund company (Models 1 - 5)

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Model 7

Alpha Lagged

0.00272***

0.00262***

0.00145***

0.00200***

0.00356***

0.00188***

0.00206***

 

(7.39)

(6.98)

(4.04)

(6.21)

(6.48)

(4.96)

(2.60)

Alpha Lagged ^2

-0.000347*

-0.000343*

-0.000300

-0.000370*

-0.000313

0.000566**

0.000533**

 

(-1.69)

(-1.67)

(-1.45)

(-1.80)

(-1.52)

(2.51)

(2.36)

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.00438*

0.00467

0.0321***

 

(-1.78)

(1.33)

(6.21)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.00161***

-0.00246***

-0.00116

 

(-2.59)

(-3.29)

(-1.23)

Purchase Option Front End

0.00565**

0.0110***

0.0268***

 

(2.40)

(3.24)

(4.91)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

-0.00116*

-0.00211***

0.00115

 

(-1.92)

(-2.89)

(1.19)

Purchase Option Fee Based

-0.00928***

-0.0259***

 

(-2.79)

(-5.07)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Fee Based

0.00297***

0.00109

 

(4.46)

(1.17)

Purchase Option No Load

0.00735**

0.0139***

-0.0311***

 

(2.10)

(3.17)

(-3.72)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

0.00401***

0.00242*

0.00517*

 

(3.27)

(1.85)

(1.66)

Constant

-0.000786

-0.00442***

-0.00110

-0.00342***

-0.00984***

0.00785***

-0.0176***

 

(-0.53)

(-3.03)

(-0.88)

(-2.71)

(-3.37)

(3.87)

(-3.94)

Number of Observations

125618

125618

125618

125618

125618

89024

89024

Number of groups

2370

2370

2370

2370

2370

1551

1551

R2 within

0.0005

0.0005

0.0006

0.0005

0.0007

0.0006

0.0007

R2 between

0.0031

0.0019

0.0008

0.0025

0.0048

0.011

0.0482

R2 overall

0.0004

0.0003

0.0023

0.0001

0.0008

0.0047

0.031

Wald Chi2

62.40***

60.33***

77.83***

68.87***

92.61***

70.60***

151.49***


 


            The data in Table 3 indicate the following.  First, prior performance in terms of alpha is positively related to future flow: higher alpha increases future flow, while lower alpha reduces future flow.  A 1-standard deviation increase in prior alpha causes a 10.0% increase in future flow (based on Model 5, and this effect is most conservatively estimated at 4.2% in Model 2 and least conservatively estimated as 16.7% in Model 6), and this effect is statistically significant at the 1% level in all models.  Each of the models includes a squared alpha term to account for possible non-linearity in flow.  Prior work on mutual fund flows (Del Guerci and Tkac, 2002) shows that flow is convex (retail investors are quick to rush to invest into funds that have had recent prior success, but slow to withdraw capital from funds that have had poor recent performance).  The regressions in Table 3 indicate that flow is not convex when the series cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, but is convex when the series can be purchased directly from the fund company.

For funds that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, the data indicate that deferred sales charges lower the level of flow regardless of prior performance.  This effect is significant at the 5% level in Model 5, and at the 1% level in Models 1 and 7.  The other intercept effects in Table 3 Panel A are not statistically robust.  Model 5 also indicates that funds with deferred sales charges, front-end purchase options, and no load purchase options also flatten the flow-performance relationship.  These effects are all statistically significant at the 1% level in Model 5.  Model 2 indicates that front end purchase options have a higher flow-performance slope, but that is measured relative to the average non-front end fund in Model 2; likewise, Figure 2 shows that the negative impact on the slope of flow-performance for front end purchase options is less pronounced than for deferred sales charge, and no load purchase options.  By contrast, the impact of fee based purchase options (without deferred sales charges, commissions and trailer fees) has a steeper flow-performance line and a higher flow regardless of performance, and these effects are both statistically significant at the 1% level in Model 3.  The economic significance of these effects is shown in Figure 2.  A fund that moves from the top quartile to the bottom performance quartile, for example, experiences a drop in flow relative to AUM by 0.32% under fee based purchase options, but only 0.26% under front end purchase options, 0.19% under no load purchase options, and 0.13% under deferred sales charge purchase options, controlling for other things being equal. 

For funds that can be purchased directly from the fund company (Models 6 and 7 in Table 3), the data do not enable an accurate assessment of the interaction effects with prior performance and purchase option types due to the smaller degree of variation in the sample.  Nevertheless, for the interaction terms that can be included, they are positive and significant, meaning that the effect is more pronounced relative to the excluded interactions, and generally consistent with the evidence in Models 1-5.  Likewise, similar evidence is observed for fund-of-funds in Table 3 Panel B, with the exception that no-load purchase options do not appear to flatten the flow-performance line for fund-of-funds, unlike that for stand-alone funds.

 


 

Figure 2. Purchase Options and Flow-Performance Intercept and Slope

This figure shows the impact of different purchase options on the flow-performance diagram.  Estimates are based on Table 3 coefficient estimates.  The first figure shows the change in slope, and the second figure shows the intercept change.

 

Table 4 presents regression analyses of fund flows relative to past performance for the subset of funds that do not allow for fee based purchase options (i.e., only including funds that  allow for deferred sales charges, commissions and trailer fees).  The basic model specification is as follows:

Flowt+1 = Constant + β1 * Alphat + β2 * Alpha2t + β3 * MERt + β4 * MERt * Alphat + β5 * Alpha2t * MERt + β6 * Trailer Feet + β7 * Trailer Feet * Alphat + β8 * Alpha2t * Trailer Feet + β9 * Other Types of Feet + β10 * Other Types of Feet * Alphat + β11 * controls + residuals

Table 4 presents six different specifications to show robustness.  Fund fixed effects are used in Table 4 because the right-hand-side variables are time variant, and because the Hausmann (1978) confirmed the validity of the random effects specification.  There is a change in fees in 8.52% of the sample months (some of which are permanent, and others transitory or temporary and subsequently reversed), and hence there is sufficient variation to not warrant any adjustments to the fixed effects estimation procedure suggested by Plumper and Troeger (2007), for example. Standard errors are clustered by FundSERV Code (Petersen, 2009).  The results are robust to not clustering or clustering on different variables.  Table 4 examines the subset of funds that do not include the fee-based purchase option because those funds do not allow for trailer fees.  In Appendix II we present a very large number of additional specifications to assess robustness, including different sets of variables, different variables, and different subsets of the data such as those that exclude various purchase option types.  The main findings from the data are quite robust across different specifications, with some differences that are noted therein.


 


Table 4. Flow Sensitivity Analysis for Subsample Excluding Fee-Based

 

This table presents monthly FundSERV code fixed effects panel regressions of the determinants of the percentage flow as a function of prior month’s alpha, fee variables, interaction terms between fees and alphas, and control variables. The dependent variable is Flows Net of PAC, SWP, Switches, Reinvestments, Distributions, and Affiliated Dealer and Affiliated Investment Funds. Variables are as defined in Table 1.  Standard errors are clustered by FundSERV code.  T-statistics are in parentheses. *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

 

Panel A. Stand-Alone Funds,  cannot be directly purchased from fund manager

 

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Alpha Lagged

0.00563**

0.00371

0.00402*

0.00568**

0.00376

0.00420*

 

(2.48)

(1.62)

(1.74)

(2.50)

(1.64)

(1.81)

 Management Expense Ratio (MER) %

0.000836**

0.000820**

0.000710*

0.00104***

0.00102***

0.000905**

 

(2.27)

(2.23)

(1.91)

(2.80)

(2.75)

(2.42)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

-0.000441***

-0.000394**

-0.000425**

-0.000253

-0.000211

-0.000235

 

(-2.67)

(-2.39)

(-2.54)

(-1.48)

(-1.24)

(-1.36)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

0.0000772**

0.0000738**

0.0000747**

0.0000756**

0.0000876**

0.0000885**

 

(2.15)

(2.05)

(2.08)

(2.10)

(2.37)

(2.40)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.00000204

0.00000107

0.000000533

-0.000000124

0.0000243

0.0000229

 

(-0.06)

(0.03)

(0.02)

(-0.00)

(0.70)

(0.66)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.00385**

0.00354**

0.00368**

0.00329*

0.00305*

0.00296*

 

(2.24)

(2.06)

(2.14)

(1.91)

(1.77)

(1.68)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

-0.00206***

-0.00166***

-0.00184***

-0.00220***

-0.00179***

-0.00208***

 

(-6.59)

(-5.19)

(-5.37)

(-7.04)

(-5.57)

(-5.65)

Trailer Slope

0.00972***

0.00959***

0.00970***

0.00977***

0.00968***

0.00977***

 

(6.57)

(6.49)

(6.54)

(6.61)

(6.54)

(6.58)

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

0.00246***

0.00235***

0.00238***

0.00237***

0.00226***

0.00227***

 

(3.45)

(3.29)

(3.13)

(3.32)

(3.16)

(2.99)

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1 (%)

-0.00904

-0.0107

0.000291

-0.00852

-0.0101

0.000759

 

(-0.93)

(-1.10)

(0.02)

(-0.88)

(-1.04)

(0.06)

Alpha Lagged *Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

-0.00115***

-0.00100***

-0.000993***

-0.00115***

-0.00101***

-0.001000***

 

(-7.00)

(-6.03)

(-5.66)

(-7.04)

(-6.06)

(-5.70)

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.188***

-0.188***

-0.191***

-0.188***

-0.188***

-0.191***

 

(-12.35)

(-12.32)

(-12.36)

(-12.35)

(-12.32)

(-12.36)

Alpha Lagged *Deferred Sales Charge Slope

0.00329

0.00436

0.00429

0.00382

0.00503*

0.00495*

 

(1.20)

(1.58)

(1.54)

(1.39)

(1.82)

(1.77)

Front End Commission Paid for DSC purchases (%)

-0.000487

-0.000469

-0.000366

-0.000572

-0.000547

-0.000474

 

(-0.75)

(-0.72)

(-0.56)

(-0.88)

(-0.84)

(-0.72)

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission Paid for DSC

-0.000378***

-0.000332***

-0.000302***

-0.000390***

-0.000342***

-0.000308***

 

(-7.37)

(-6.38)

(-5.11)

(-7.58)

(-6.57)

(-5.21)

 Maximum Front End Commission (%)

0.00196

0.00193

 

(1.29)

(1.27)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission

0.0000610

0.0000722

 

(1.13)

(1.33)

Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

-0.00129

-0.000615

-0.000652

-0.00121

-0.000487

-0.000475

 

(-0.06)

(-0.03)

(-0.03)

(-0.06)

(-0.02)

(-0.02)

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4. Panel A. (Continued)

 

 

       Model 1

            Model 2

          Model 3

             Model 4

       Model 5

       Model 6

 

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee

0.00236**

0.00277**

0.00258**

0.00230**

0.00269**

0.00246**

 

(2.04)

(2.38)

(2.20)

(1.98)

(2.32)

(2.10)

Other payment to Dealer and Broker (%)

-29.24***

7.890*

7.599

-29.23***

7.860*

7.570

 

(-6.47)

(1.66)

(1.60)

(-6.46)

(1.65)

(1.59)

Alpha Lagged*Other payment to Dealer and Broker

9.014***

2.580

2.397

8.962***

2.559

2.394

 

(2.60)

(0.71)

(0.66)

(2.59)

(0.71)

(0.66)

 Front End Commission Paid (%)

-0.0377***

-0.0376***

-0.0376***

-0.0377***

-0.0376***

-0.0376***

 

(-33.33)

(-33.26)

(-33.23)

(-33.34)

(-33.27)

(-33.24)

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission Paid

-0.00162*

-0.00148*

-0.00157*

-0.00155*

-0.00139*

-0.00149*

 

(-1.95)

(-1.78)

(-1.88)

(-1.87)

(-1.68)

(-1.79)

Performance Fee (%)

0.00637

0.00637

 

(0.93)

(0.93)

Alpha Lagged*Performance Fee

0.0000940

0.000107

 

(0.40)

(0.46)

 Negotiated Management Fee (%)

-0.0394***

-0.0391***

-0.0394***

-0.0391***

 

(-25.16)

(-24.90)

(-25.16)

(-24.90)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

0.00638***

0.00659***

0.00641***

0.00662***

 

(5.40)

(5.51)

(5.43)

(5.53)

Minimum Purchase Amount ($)

5.94e-10***

5.89e-10**

 

(2.59)

(2.57)

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

-1.30e-10

-1.22e-10

 

(-0.87)

(-0.81)

Alpha Lagged^2

0.000458***

0.000487***

0.000415***

 

(3.97)

(4.17)

(2.65)

Alpha Lagged^2 * Management Expense Ratio

-0.000321***

-0.000314***

-0.000308***

 

(-4.72)

(-4.62)

(-4.44)

Alpha Lagged^2 * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.0000269*

-0.0000267*

 

(-1.86)

(-1.84)

Alpha Lagged^2 *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.000108

 

(0.75)

Constant

0.0121

0.0206

-0.0458

0.00928

0.0171

-0.0483

 

(0.18)

(0.31)

(-0.55)

(0.14)

(0.26)

(-0.58)

Number of Observations

508121

508121

508121

508121

508121

508121

Number of Groups

9595

9595

9595

9595

9595

9595

R2 within

0.0034

0.0047

0.0047

0.0035

0.0047

0.0047

R2 between

0.0138

0.016

0.0072

0.0134

0.0157

0.0069

R2 overall

0.0067

0.0093

0.006

0.0065

0.009

0.0058

F

81.14***

101.7***

81.05***

75.09***

90.98***

72.04***

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4 (Continued)

Panel B. Stand-Alone Funds, can be directly purchased from fund manager

 

 

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

Alpha Lagged

0.00368***

0.00181**

0.00266***

0.00266***

0.00266***

0.00254***

 

(11.85)

(2.04)

(2.93)

(2.93)

(2.85)

(2.72)

Alpha Lagged^2

0.000819***

0.000900***

0.000882***

0.000898***

0.000908

-0.00352***

 

(4.51)

(4.61)

(4.52)

(4.60)

(1.57)

(-3.64)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

-0.000505***

-0.000511***

-0.000513***

-0.000513***

-0.000513***

-0.000480***

 

(-3.85)

(-3.74)

(-3.76)

(-3.76)

(-3.76)

(-3.52)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

0.000248*

0.000348**

0.000379**

0.000374**

0.000374**

0.000381**

 

(1.72)

(2.29)

(2.50)

(2.46)

(2.46)

(2.51)

Alpha Lagged^2 * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.000250***

-0.000284***

-0.000286***

-0.000287***

-0.000287***

-0.000363***

 

(-2.72)

(-2.92)

(-2.94)

(-2.95)

(-2.94)

(-3.70)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

-0.0544***

-0.0548***

-0.0539***

-0.0539***

-0.0540***

 

(-9.08)

(-9.15)

(-8.88)

(-8.88)

(-8.90)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.00199*

-0.000471

-0.000419

-0.000414

-0.000262

 

(1.80)

(-0.38)

(-0.34)

(-0.33)

(-0.21)

 Maximum Front End Commission (%)

-282.1

-228.5

-228.7

-261.0

 

(-0.01)

(-0.01)

(-0.01)

(-0.01)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission

0.000601***

0.000591***

0.000591***

0.000594***

 

(4.66)

(4.54)

(4.54)

(4.43)

Minimum Purchase Amount ($)

-0.000000126***

-0.000000126***

-0.000000125***

 

(-8.70)

(-8.70)

(-8.61)

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

-4.37e-09

-4.37e-09

6.96e-10

 

(-1.17)

(-1.17)

(0.18)

 Management Expense Ratio (MER) %

0.00131

0.00131

0.00102

 

(1.09)

(1.09)

(0.84)

Alpha Lagged^2 *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

-0.0000120

0.00113

 

(-0.02)

(1.41)

Alpha Lagged^2 * Management Expense Ratio

0.00223***

 

(5.85)

Alpha Lagged^2 * Maximum Front End Commission

0.0000426

 

(0.55)

Constant

-0.0426***

-0.0172***

231.8

187.8

188.0

214.5

 

(-258.08)

(-4.28)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

(0.01)

Number of Observations

164078

134505

134505

134505

134505

134505

Number of Groups

2407

2010

2010

2010

2010

2010

R2 within

0.0017

0.0023

0.0025

0.0031

0.0031

0.0033

R2 between

0.0098

0.004

0.0655

0.0655

0.0655

0.0655

R2 overall

0.0036

0.002

0.0372

0.0372

0.0372

0.0372

F

54.14***

43.71***

36.41***

33.78***

31.18***

29.32***

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4 (Continued)

Panel C. Fund of  Funds, cannot be directly purchased from fund manager

 

 

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Alpha Lagged

0.00309**

0.00297**

0.00580**

0.0119***

2.550

2.552

 

(2.44)

(2.31)

(2.53)

(3.00)

(0.24)

(0.24)

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

0.00265***

0.00264***

0.00328***

0.00315***

0.00296***

0.00284***

 

(3.86)

(3.85)

(4.54)

(4.35)

(4.08)

(3.90)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

-0.000365

-0.000327

-0.00146**

-0.00260***

-0.00194**

-0.00231***

 

(-0.68)

(-0.60)

(-2.00)

(-3.26)

(-2.40)

(-2.79)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

0.0000999

0.0000901

0.000219**

0.000160

0.000144

0.000144

 

(1.16)

(1.03)

(2.00)

(1.47)

(1.32)

(1.32)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.0000589

-0.0000701

-0.00000491

0.000111

0.000184

0.000185

 

(-0.46)

(-0.53)

(-0.03)

(0.70)

(1.15)

(1.16)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.000912

0.000920

0.000197

-0.0000921

-0.00120

-0.00136

 

(0.36)

(0.36)

(0.05)

(-0.02)

(-0.29)

(-0.33)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

-0.00168*

-0.00169*

0.000398

0.000262

0.00436***

0.00210

 

(-1.74)

(-1.75)

(0.33)

(0.21)

(3.03)

(1.25)

Trailer Slope

-0.00308

-0.00308

-0.000820

-0.00263

-0.00213

-0.00200

 

(-1.34)

(-1.34)

(-0.28)

(-0.90)

(-0.72)

(-0.68)

Alpha Lagged *Trailer Slope

-0.00553***

-0.00552***

-0.00302

-0.00195

-0.00361

-0.00401

 

(-3.39)

(-3.38)

(-1.25)

(-0.81)

(-1.48)

(-1.64)

Alpha Lagged*Performance Fee

0.00247***

0.00247***

0.00219***

0.00195***

0.00232***

0.00232***

 

(6.68)

(6.63)

(5.26)

(4.11)

(4.85)

(4.84)

Negotiated Management Fee (%)

-0.0246***

-0.0247***

-0.0210***

-0.0209***

-0.0194***

-0.0193***

 

(-7.18)

(-7.18)

(-5.90)

(-5.90)

(-5.46)

(-5.44)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

-0.00141

-0.00138

-0.00559

-0.00501

-0.00936**

-0.00972**

 

(-0.37)

(-0.36)

(-1.30)

(-1.17)

(-2.15)

(-2.23)

Alpha Lagged^2

0.0000660

0.000415

-0.00137

-0.00147

-0.00484***

 

(0.24)

(1.17)

(-1.39)

(-1.49)

(-3.08)

Alpha Lagged^2 * Trading Expense Ratio

0.0000502

-0.0000982

-0.000189*

-0.000238**

-0.000235**

 

(0.60)

(-1.05)

(-1.89)

(-2.38)

(-2.33)

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.142**

-0.138**

-0.135**

-0.136**

 

(-2.50)

(-2.44)

(-2.32)

(-2.33)

 

 

 

Table 4. Panel C.  (Continued)

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Alpha Lagged * DSC Slope

0.0102

0.00378

0.00332

0.00356

 

 

(1.31)

(0.48)

(0.42)

(0.44)

 

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

-0.000446

0.000911

0.00179

0.00179

 

 

(-0.20)

(0.39)

(0.76)

(0.76)

 

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission paid for DSC

-0.000278

-0.000145

-0.000941***

-0.000885***

 

 

(-1.26)

(-0.65)

(-3.52)

(-3.30)

 

Alpha Lagged^2* Management Expense Ratio

0.00104**

0.00114**

0.00179***

 

 

(2.02)

(2.21)

(3.16)

 

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

-0.0218**

-0.0214*

-0.0212*

 

 

(-2.25)

(-1.79)

(-1.78)

 

Alpha Lagged *DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

-0.00111*

-0.000423

-0.000563

 

 

(-1.70)

(-0.64)

(-0.85)

 

Front End Commission Paid (%)

-0.0873***

-0.0876***

-0.0877***

 

 

(-28.62)

(-28.71)

(-28.75)

 

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission paid

-0.00641*

-0.00561

-0.00542

 

 

(-1.68)

(-1.47)

(-1.42)

 

Maximum Front End Commission for FE purchases (%)

-0.000823

-0.000592

 

 

(-0.08)

(-0.06)

 

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission (%)

-0.00142***

-0.00139***

 

 

(-5.40)

(-5.29)

 

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee

-1.270

-1.270

 

 

(-0.23)

(-0.23)

 

Alpha Lagged^2 *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.00336***

 

 

(2.78)

 

Minimum Purchase Amount($)

-9.97e-10

 

 

(-0.68)

 

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

9.40e-10

 

 

(0.51)

 

Constant

-0.00958***

-0.00958***

-0.0383***

0.0831

0.0825

0.0815

 

 

(-4.25)

(-4.25)

(-3.04)

(1.55)

(1.49)

(1.47)

 

Number of Observations

105089

105089

73611

73611

73611

73611

 

Number of Groups

2027

2027

1468

1468

1468

1468

 

R2 within

0.0015

0.0015

0.0021

0.0147

0.0151

0.0152

 

R2 between

0.0001

0.0001

0.0006

0.0315

0.02

0.0215

 

R2 overall

0.0013

0.0012

0.0012

0.0466

0.035

0.0363

 

F

12.72***

10.96***

8.471***

46.66***

42.42***

38.32***

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4 (Continued)

Panel D. Fund-of-Funds, can be directly purchased from fund manager

 

 

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

Alpha Lagged

0.0516

0.0499

0.385

0.0512

0.0493

0.579

 

(1.36)

(1.32)

(0.57)

(1.35)

(1.30)

(0.85)

 Management Expense Ratio (MER) %

0.00384**

0.00443***

0.00444***

0.00389***

0.00444***

0.00443***

 

(2.55)

(2.94)

(2.95)

(2.58)

(2.95)

(2.94)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

0.00267*

0.00357**

0.00353**

0.00284**

0.00384***

0.00365**

 

(1.89)

(2.51)

(2.48)

(1.99)

(2.67)

(2.51)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

-0.000528**

-0.000667***

-0.000680***

-0.000523**

-0.000633***

-0.000641***

 

(-2.24)

(-2.83)

(-2.87)

(-2.22)

(-2.68)

(-2.70)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

0.000106

0.000370

0.000388

0.0000895

0.000647*

0.000713**

 

(0.36)

(1.24)

(1.27)

(0.30)

(1.88)

(1.99)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.0446

0.0453

0.0507

0.0445

0.0454

0.0507

 

(1.29)

(1.31)

(1.47)

(1.29)

(1.31)

(1.47)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.00768***

0.00659***

0.00699***

0.00775***

0.00679***

0.00677***

 

(3.41)

(2.92)

(3.10)

(3.43)

(3.01)

(2.90)

Trailer Slope

0.0129***

0.0134***

0.0134***

0.0130***

0.0135***

0.0135***

 

(11.29)

(11.76)

(11.76)

(11.35)

(11.85)

(11.85)

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

-0.00127

-0.000986

-0.00117

-0.00143

-0.00113

-0.00135

 

(-1.11)

(-0.86)

(-1.01)

(-1.25)

(-0.99)

(-1.16)

Alpha Lagged *Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

0.00109***

0.00138***

0.00154***

0.00109***

0.00131***

0.00153***

 

(2.60)

(3.23)

(2.94)

(2.59)

(3.05)

(2.92)

Front End Commission Paid for DSC purchases (%)

-0.00441

-0.00437

-0.00281

-0.00411

-0.00398

-0.00236

 

(-0.33)

(-0.33)

(-0.21)

(-0.31)

(-0.30)

(-0.18)

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission Paid for DSC

-0.000135

-0.000386

-0.000385

-0.000158

-0.000403

-0.000429

 

(-0.48)

(-1.37)

(-1.33)

(-0.56)

(-1.43)

(-1.48)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee

-0.0321*

-0.0314*

-0.199

-0.0322*

-0.0314*

-0.296

 

(-1.70)

(-1.66)

(-0.59)

(-1.70)

(-1.66)

(-0.87)

 Front End Commission Paid (%)

-0.0835***

-0.0854***

-0.0848***

-0.0835***

-0.0854***

-0.0847***

 

(-41.04)

(-42.00)

(-41.60)

(-41.02)

(-41.99)

(-41.58)

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission Paid

0.00762***

0.00665***

0.00650***

0.00766***

0.00686***

0.00664***

 

(4.50)

(3.92)

(3.80)

(4.52)

(4.04)

(3.88)

 Negotiated Management Fee (%)

0.0681***

0.0677***

0.0681***

0.0677***

 

(17.38)

(17.15)

(17.39)

(17.14)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

-0.0318***

-0.0302***

-0.0323***

-0.0301***

 

(-6.25)

(-5.26)

(-6.33)

(-5.24)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4. Panel D. (Continued)

 

 

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

Minimum Purchase Amount ($)

-0.00270***

-0.00270***

 

 

(-5.98)

(-5.98)

 

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

-0.00000223

-0.00000353

 

 

(-0.50)

(-0.78)

 

Alpha Lagged^2

0.00198*

0.00137

-0.000578

 

 

(1.67)

(1.14)

(-0.21)

 

Alpha Lagged^2 * Management Expense Ratio

-0.00103

-0.000481

0.000275

 

 

(-1.24)

(-0.56)

(0.22)

 

Alpha Lagged^2 * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.000313*

-0.000370**

 

 

(-1.79)

(-2.02)

 

Alpha Lagged^2 *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.00125

 

 

(0.78)

 

Constant

-0.0167

-0.0272

0.627***

-0.0171

-0.0279

0.625***

 

 

(-0.46)

(-0.75)

(5.44)

(-0.47)

(-0.77)

(5.43)

 

Number of Observations

72081

72081

72081

72081

72081

72081

 

Number of Groups

1304

1304

1304

1304

1304

1304

 

R2 within

0.0618

0.0923

0.1164

0.1172

0.1341

0.1457

 

R2 between

0.0525

0.0622

0.0786

0.0978

0.1134

0.1244

 

R2 overall

0.052

0.0535

0.0641

0.0843

0.1032

0.1233

 

F

127.4***

131.1***

119.2***

112.8***

111.9***

98.97***

 


 


In Table 4, the data exhibit a number of insights into flow-performance sensitivity, and how this relationship prior alpha and future fund flows is moderated by fund fees.  Table 4 Panel A shows the results for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly.  The data indicate that funds with higher prior alpha experience higher flows in the next month, and this effect is statistically significant at the 5% level in Models 1 and 4, the 10% level in Models 3 and 6.  Similarly, the data indicate that the coefficient on alpha2 is positive and statistically significant in Models 4-6, which means that the flow-performance relationship is convex (investors rush to funds that have had strong past performance, but are very reluctant to withdraw from funds that have had weak prior performance, consistent with prior work such as Del Guercio and Tkac (2002), among others.   Accounting for the nonlinearity, the economic significance is such that a 1-standard deviation improvement in past alpha increases subsequent flow by 18.6% relative to the average monthly flow in the sample.

Table 4 Panel A further indicates that various fee variables affect flow-performance sensitivity for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from a fund manager.  In particular, the data indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in trailer fees reduces flow-performance sensitivity by 15.4%,[21] and this effect is statistically significant at the 1% level in each of the six models in Table 4.  This effect is graphically shown in the first part of Figure 3.  Furthermore, the data do indicate that higher subsequent trailers have a positive effect on flow(i.e., more capital is directed to funds with higher fees, regardless of past performance): a 1-standard deviation increase in trailer slope is associated with a 5.7% increase in flow relative to the average monthly flow, which is surprising but implies that capital is directed to funds with

Figure 3. Trailer Fees and Flow-Performance Intercept and Slope

This figure shows the impact of a 1.5% trailer fee on the flow-performance diagram for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly.  Estimates are based on Table  4 coefficient estimates.  The first figure shows the change in slope, and the second figure shows the intercept change.

 


higher trailer fees regardless of past performance.  This effect is graphically shown in the second part of Figure 3.  Further, funds with higher subsequent trailers have higher flows regardless of past performance: a 1-standard deviation increase in the rate of change in trailers is associated with a 14.9% increase in flow irrespective of past performance.  The rate of increase in trailers in the future makes current flow more sensitive to past performance: a 1-standard deviation increase in subsequent trailers increases current flow by 3.7% relative to the average flow-sensitivity.

The data in Table 4 Panel A indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in deferred sales charges reduces flow-performance sensitivity by 14.6%.  If the rate of subsequent deferred sales charge reductions decreases by 1-standard deviation then current flow to the fund regardless of past performance reduces by 46.6%.  Further, if sales commission paid for DSC increases by 1-standard deviation then flow-performance sensitivity reduces by 7.3%.

Some of the other results in Table 4 are as follows.  MER and TER are related to flow in an inverse-U shaped way: they are positively related to flow for low levels of MER and TER but this effect is diminishing for larger levels of MER and TER, and it is negatively related to flow for high levels of MER and TER.  Other payments to dealers and brokers reduce flow but increase flow performance slope, while front end commissions paid reduce both flow and flow-performance slope.

Consistent with the above evidence that higher trailer fees increase flow regardless of past performance for stand-alone funds not purchased directly from a fund manager, so do higher MERs and TERs.  An increase in MER (TER) by 1-standard deviation is associated with an increase in flow by 6.9% (1.1%) relative to average monthly flow, regardless of past performance.  Table 4 Panel A also shows that an increase in MER lowers flow-performance sensitivity, but that effect is only significant in Models 1-3 and not robust to the specifications in Models 4-6.

There are some differences in the flow-performance regression results for stand-alone funds that can be purchased directly from the fund company, as indicated in Table 4 Panel B.  Some of the differences may be attributable to the different sample size, and the inability to contemporaneously control for the same complete set of variables as in Panel A due to collinearity.  Consistent with Panel A for funds not purchased directly from the fund company, the data indicate that flow is higher for funds that have had better past performance, but the economic significance is smaller whereby a 1-standard deviation increase in past alpha increases future flow by 7.4%.  Flow is lower regardless of past performance when TER, trailer fees, and minimum purchase amounts are higher: a 1-standard deviation increase in TER reduces flow by 4.2%, while a 1-standard deviation increase in trailer fees reduces flow by 236%, and a 1-standard deviation increase in minimum purchase amounts reduce flow by 109%.  Flow-performance sensitivity shows great convexity at higher trading expense ratios, meaning an increase in TER is associated with higher flow-sensitivity at a diminishing rate, and the economic significance is small whereby a 1-standard deviation change is associated with a change in flow around 1-2%.  The maximum front end commission increases future flow, but again the economic significance is small such that a 1-standard deviation increase in maximum front end commissions increases sensitivity by less than 0.001%.

One additional item to note from Tables 3 and 4 is that the data indicate that funds with fee-based purchase options exhibit significantly higher flow-performance sensitivity, while funds with front-end purchase options, deferred sales charge purchase options, and no load purchase options exhibit significantly lower flow performance slope.  This evidence is consistent with the inferences from Table 4 that large fees such as trailer fees reduce flow-performance sensitivity.  Appendix II provides a number of additional robustness checks for Tables 3 and 4.  Overall, the results are quite consistent with that reported in Tables 3 and 4.  These details are provided in Appendix II.

There are some differences in the size of the effects for fund-of-funds that cannot be purchased directly (Table 4 Panel C), but the sign and statistical significance is similar to that discussed above for Table 4 Panels A and B.  A 1-standard deviation increase in alphas is associated with a 5.2% (10.7%) [2.7%] increase in flow relative to average monthly flow in Model 3 (Model 4) [Model 7] in Table 3 Panel C, but this effect is not significant in Models 5 and 6.  A 1-standard deviation increase in MER reduces flow regardless of past performance by 2.9% relative to average month flow, and reduces flow-performance sensitivity by 0.7% (based on the Model 4 estimates).  Higher initial deferred sales charges and slow rates of reduction in subsequent deferred sales charges, higher negotiated management fees, and higher front end commissions paid are all negatively associated with flow regardless of past performance; a 1-standard deviation increase in each causes a respective percentage drop in flow by 61.6%, 13.8%, 5.1%, and 11.5%.  Higher performance fees by 1-standard deviation are associated with higher flow-performance sensitivity by 4.0%.  Trailer fees, by contrast, are not statistically significant in Table 3 Panel C.

Further differences in the results are seen for fund-of-funds that can be purchased directly (Table 4 Panel D).  Flow levels are higher regardless of past performance when MERs are higher (for a 1-standard deviation change, there is a 4.0% increase), subsequent trailer fees increase at higher rates (for a 1-standard deviation change, there is a 9.9% increase), negotiated management fees are higher (9.3%), front-end commissions are lower (221.8%), TERs are lower (1.6%), and minimum purchase amounts are lower (187.9%).  Higher trailer fees, initial deferred sales charges, front end commissions paid, and higher trading expense ratios increase flow-performance sensitivity, but the sizes of these effects are very small (the marginal effects are 0.04%, 0.06%, 0.2%, and 0.02%, respectively). 

4.2. Alpha Regression Analyses

In order to complement the flow-performance analysis, in this section we investigate whether or not there are any systematic differences in alphas earned by the funds (gross of fees) in relation to the fee structures and flow-performance sensitivity.  The regressions are presented in Table 5.  The regressions have the following structure:

Alphat+1 = Constant + β1 * Flow-Performance Interceptt +  β2 * Flow-Performance Slopet  + residuals

Because alphas are calculated over a 12-month window, we use 12 month lags in the independent variables.[22]  In all of the regressions, standard errors are clustered by FundSERV code (Petersen, 2009), and results are robust to not clustering or clustering on different variables.

The data in Table 5 Panel A for the subset of stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company clearly indicate the following.  First, the flow-performance intercept is negatively related to future alpha, and this effect is statistically significant at the 1% level in Models 1 and 3.  The economic significance is such that a 1-standard deviation increase in the flow-performance intercept is associated with a 2.22% (Model 3) to 3.87% (Model 1) decrease in future alpha, relative to the average monthly alpha in the data.  Referring back to Table 4, we note that the flow-performance intercept is positively affected by trailer fees.  Table 5 therefore implies that a 1% increase in trailer fees is associated with a 0.23% (Model 3) to 0.39% (Model 3) decrease in future alpha through the intercept effect. 

Figure 4 provides further insight into this effect in the data by showing the histogram of the flow-performance intercept variable.  The data in the first part of Figure 4 indicate that for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from a fund manager, flow is on average strongly positive regardless of past performance.  Additional flow irrespective of how well a fund does in terms of risk-adjusted performance highlights the fact that on average, fund managers receive capital for reasons other than performance, including the fee structure.  We know from Table 4 that the flow-performance intercept is larger when there are more favorable compensation arrangements for agents, such as larger trailer fees, which serves to make the conflicts of interest more pronounced in view of the already positive average level of flow irrespective of past performance.  As such, it is not surprising that for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, the data indicate a strong statistically and economically significant negative relation between the flow-performance intercept and future alpha.

But the flow-performance intercept effect is not the complete picture because there is a slope effect as well.  Table 5 shows that flow-performance slope is positively related to future alpha, and this effect is statistically significant at the 1% level.  A 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance slope is associated with a 4.89% (Model 3) to 5.19% (Model 2) increase in future alpha.  Referring back to Table 4, recall that the flow-performance slope is negatively


Table 5. Relation between Flow Intercept, Flow Slope and Future Alpha, on subsample excluding Fee based

This table presents FundSERV code fixed effects panel data estimates of the relationship between the flow intercept, flow slope, and 1-year lead future alphas.  Flow intercept and slope are calculated based on Models 6 and 12 of Table 4 for each of the respective categories: stand-alone funds, not purchased direct, stand-alone funds purchased direct, fund of funds not purchased direct, and fund of funds purchased direct.  Flow intercept refers to the level of flow in a given month irrespective of past alpha, while flow slope refers to the sensitivity of capital flows that the fund receives as a result of changes in monthly alpha.  Standard errors are clustered by FundSERV code.  t-statistics are in parentheses.  *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

 

 

Panel A. Stand-Alone Funds

 

Cannot be Purchased Directly

Can be Purchased Directly

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

Flow Intercept

-0.324***

-0.185***

1.721***

1.555***

 

(-5.79)

(-2.70)

(10.93)

(6.62)

 

Flow Slope

6.126***

5.767***

2.935***

1.367***

 

(6.61)

(6.16)

(9.57)

(3.53)

 

Constant

0.263***

0.257***

0.263***

0.106***

0.0194***

0.0897***

 

(126.83)

(175.90)

(94.47)

(17.74)

(10.65)

(8.33)

 

Observations

492088

412300

412300

132101

107782

107782

 

Number of groups

9192

8229

8229

1981

1703

1703

 

R2 within

0.0194

0.0271

0.0366

0.0158

0.0176

0.0281

 

R2 between

0.0232

0.0215

0.0284

0.0195

0.0162

0.0233

 

R2 overall

0.0197

0.0204

0.023

0.0142

0.0151

0.021

 

F

33.47***

43.75***

25.51***

119.4***

91.61***

67.76***

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 5 (Continued)

Panel B. Fund-of-Funds

 

Cannot be Purchased Directly

Can be Purchased Directly

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

 

Flow Intercept

0.360***

0.145*

-0.0458***

-0.0291**

 

(5.97)

(1.91)

(-5.02)

(-2.37)

 

Flow Slope

6.897***

2.541**

0.331***

0.184**

 

(6.33)

(2.12)

(4.95)

(2.04)

 

Constant

0.348***

0.359***

0.359***

0.181***

0.189***

0.184***

 

(59.73)

(42.85)

(32.18)

(106.64)

(181.75)

(83.74)

 

Observations

73356

86145

59974

69842

70019

69842

 

Number of groups

1448

1840

1301

1280

1283

1280

 

R2 within

0.0257

0.0272

0.0313

0.0232

0.0192

0.0311

 

R2 between

0.0365

0.0228

0.0391

0.0273

0.0245

0.0271

 

R2 overall

0.0224

0.0211

0.0289

0.0176

0.0183

0.0254

 

F

35.64***

40.07***

4.884***

25.18***

24.51***

14.68***

 


 

Figure 4. Histograms for Flow Intercept

 

This chart shows the distribution of variable “Flow Intercept” by each fund category. Variable “Flow Intercept” is created by regressing the aggregate monthly fund flow on lagged alpha, fee variables and a series of interacting variables, based on the most complete models in Table 3. The resulting coefficients before the fee variables are recorded; these coefficients are multiplied by the according fee variables and then added together to construct the “Flow Intercept”, which shows that given the fund performance unchanged, how the fees affect the total fund flow directly.

                                                   

 

 

 

                                                     


related to trailer fees.  As such, a 1% increase in trailer fees is associated with a 1.20% (Model 3) to 1.27% (Model 2) reduction in future alpha.  Adding the slope and intercept effects together, a 1-standard deviation increase in trailer fees is conservatively associated with a 1.43% (Model 3) decrease in future alpha.  Similar evidence is seen with deferred sales charges.  A 1% increase in deferred sales charges raises the flow-performance intercept in Table 4 Panel A (although this effect is statistically insignificant), which in turn results in a 0.06% drop in future alpha.  A 1% increase in deferred sales charges lowers the flow-performance slope (and this effect is statistically significant in Table 4 Panel A), which in turn causes a 0.58% reduction in future alpha.  Overall, for the subset of directly managed funds that cannot be purchased directly, the data are consistent with the view that fees impact flow-performance intercept and slope, and flow-performance intercept and slope in turn impacts future alpha.

Table 5 provides the same evidence for stand-alone funds that can be directly purchased from a fund manager.  The evidence here is in part analogous to that for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly from a fund manager insofar as the flow-performance slope is positive and statistically significant.  The data indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance slope is associated with a 5.65% (Model 3) to 12.14% (Model 2) increase in future alpha.  Referring back to Table 4 Panel B, a 1% increase in trailer fees lowers flow-performance slope (although this effect is not statistically significant in Table 3 Panel B Model 6), and in Table 5 we see that the associated impact of the flattened slope is a 0.23% (Model 3) to 0.50% (Model 2) reduction in future alpha. 

Table 5 indicates a flow-performance intercept effect for stand-alone funds that can be directly purchased is positive and significant, which is different from the counterpart funds that cannot be directly purchased where the coefficient is negative and significant.  The most compelling reason for this difference is evident in Figure 4.  For funds that cannot be purchased directly, the flow-performance intercept is strongly positive for over 95% of the funds (investor capital is allocated to funds regardless of past performance), while for funds that can be purchased directly, the flow-performance intercept is strongly negative for over 95% of the funds (investor capital does not flow to funds unless there is evidence of past performance).  This evidence means that when investing directly, investors are sensitive to fees: when a fund charges more, investors are less likely to invest and invest less.  Among the funds that can be purchased directly, those that charge higher trailer fees have lower flow-performance intercepts (Table 4 Panel B), and in turn lower performance (Table 5).  A 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance intercept causes a 48.37% (Model 3) to 53.53% (Model 1) increase in future alpha, and a 1% increase in trailer fees causes a 108.34% (Model 3) to 119.91% (Model 1) decrease in future alpha, and each of these effects are significant at the 1% level of significance.

Table 5 provides further analyses of fund-of-funds.  First, referring back to Figure 4, among fund-of-funds that cannot be purchased directly, monthly flow-performance intercepts are virtually always less than zero, implying no significant conflicts of interest.[23]  Table 5 shows that, consistent with the evidence for stand-alone funds that can be purchased directly, there is a positive effect of flow-performance intercept and future alpha.  The economic significance is such that a 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance intercept causes a 1.87% (Model 3) to 4.63% (Model 1) increase in future alpha.  Referring back to Table 4, we see a negative (but statistically insignificant) effect of trailers on flow-performance intercept, which in turn implies trailers negatively affect future alpha (but this effect is not statistically robust); a 1% increase in trailers is associated with a 0.06% (Model 3) to 0.17% (Model 1) reduction in future alpha.  Similarly, a 1% increase in deferred sales charges causes a 1.03% reduction in future alpha, and this effect is statistically significant.

Consistent with the evidence for stand-alone funds that both can and cannot be purchased directly, the evidence in Table 5 Panel B for fund of funds that cannot be purchased directly shows a positive and statistically significant impact of flow-performance slope on future alpha.[24]  A 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance slope causes a 3.01% (Model 3) to 8.18% (Model 2) increase in future alpha.  Referring back to Table 4 Panel C, the data show that a 1% increase in trailer fees results in a 0.05% (Model 3) to 0.15% (Model 2) reduction in future alpha, but this effect is not statistically robust in Table 4; similarly, a 1% increase in deferred sales charges causes a 0.14% (Model 3) to 0.39% (Model 2) reduction in future alpha, but again this effect is not statistically robust in Table 4.

Finally, Table 5 provides evidence for fund-of-funds that can be directly purchased.  To interpret the flow-performance intercept evidence, we begin again by referring to Figure 4 which shows a significant proportion (roughly half) of monthly flows is positive regardless of past performance.  Table 5 shows that for these funds, there is negative relationship between flow-performance intercept and future alpha.  A 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance intercept is associated with a 5.14% (Model 3) to 8.10% reduction in future alpha.  Referring back to Table 4, a 1% increase in trailer fees causes a 0.50% (Model 1) to 0.78% (Model 2) reduction in future alpha, but this effect of raising the flow-performance intercept through higher trailer fees is statistically insignificant in Table 4.  Note that this evidence is distinct from that found for stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly. 

For fund-of-funds that can be purchased directly, there is a positive effect of flow-performance slope on future alpha.  A 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance slope causes a 2.76% (Table 4, Model 3) to 4.96% (Model 2) increase in future alpha.  Referring back to Table 4, there is a positive effect of trailers on flow-performance, although the economic significance is small; in turn, the effect on alpha is not pronounced such that a 1-standard deviation increase in trailers is associated with a 0.13% increase in future alpha.

We considered other robustness checks to the use of a more parsimonious model for generating flow-performance intercept and flow-performance slope, instead of those in Table 4.  The findings are not different to those reported in Table 5.  We considered other robustness checks to the use of the full sample of all of the different purchase option types and inclusion of additional right-hand-side variables, including different purchase option types and different fee variables.  In those regressions, the data again indicated that alpha is higher with a higher flow-performance slope, consistent with Table 5, highlighting the importance of incentives to generate alpha with a higher slope. 

Also, we considered additional regressions on other subsamples of the data as well as with other right-hand-side variables, including for example variables with different combinations of fees on the right-hand-side.  The challenge with different specifications with numerous explanatory variables is that they tend to become overly correlated with the flow-performance slope and intercept variables, because those variables already account for fee structures.  As well, controlling for different fees and not others makes missing variables problematic.  By contrast, the flow-performance slope and intercept variables jointly capture the different net incentive effects of how the overall fee structure affects returns, as described above. 

Further, we considered regressions for which flow-performance variables are estimated with data from a pre-period, such as 2003-2006, and performance is assessed for post-period, such as 2007.  We considered these ‘rolling’ regressions for each of the 2004-2007, 2005-2008, 2006-2009, etc., flow periods and 2008, 2009, 2010, etc. alpha regression results.  Instead of showing a very large number of tables, we present instead in Figures 5 and 6 the marginal effects of a 1-standard deviation change in flow-slope for each of the time periods for flow-performance slope and intercept, respectively.  There is some variation in the marginal effects over time, with the largest effects for stand-alone funds in 2011 and the largest effects for fund-of-funds in 2007 for flow performance slope, and in 2007 for flow-performance intercept for all fund categories except stand-alone funds purchased directly from the fund company which shows the largest effect in 2010.  Some differences over time could be attributable to the financial crisis period roughly from August 2007 – 2010, but overall the evidence is consistent with the results discussed above for the full sample period. 

We provide an additional robustness check in Table 6 with the use of an additional right-hand-side variable for affiliated dealer flows.  In Appendix II, we provide evidence that affiliated broker-dealer flows show little relation between past alpha and future flow in Tables II.1 Panel A and Table II.2 Panel A, and are negatively related to past performance in Table II.2 Panel B.  That evidence is suggestive of conflicts of interest, which lowers incentives to generate flow through improvements in alpha.  To test this possibility, we control for lagged affiliated dealer flow relative to AUM in the alpha regressions to see if there is an impact on future performance.  The data indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in lagged affiliated dealer flow is


Table 6. Relation between Affiliated Dealer Flow and Future Alpha, on subsample excluding Fee based

This table presents fixed effects panel data estimates of the relationship between the flow intercept, flow slope, affiliated dealer flows and 1-year lead future alphas.  Flow intercept and slope are calculated based on Models 6 and 12 of Table 4 for each of the respective categories: stand-alone funds, not purchased direct, stand-alone funds purchased direct, fund of funds not purchased direct, and fund of funds purchased direct.  Affiliated Dealer flow refers to the aggregate monthly money fund flow from affiliated  dealers divided by the concurrent period AUM. Flow intercept refers to the level of flow in a given month irrespective of past alpha, while flow slope refers to the sensitivity of capital flows that the fund receives as a result of changes in monthly alpha.  Standard errors are clustered by FundSERV code.  t-statistics are in parentheses.  *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

 

Panel A: Stand-Alone Funds

Cannot be Purchased Directly (Model 1-3)

Can be Purchased Directly (Model 4-6)

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Flow Intercept

-0.345***

-0.196***

1.337***

1.672***

 

(-6.10)

(-2.83)

(9.79)

(7.88)

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

-1.082***

-0.845***

-0.881***

-0.529***

-0.423***

-0.423***

 

(-5.41)

(-3.64)

(-3.79)

(-7.75)

(-5.30)

(-5.31)

Flow Slope

5.969***

5.590***

1.562***

0.169*

 

(6.62)

(6.13)

(7.62)

(1.82)

Constant

0.266***

0.258***

0.265***

0.0985***

0.0438***

0.106***

 

(124.24)

(171.34)

(93.02)

(23.41)

(29.48)

(13.23)

Observations

492088

412300

412300

161058

133250

133250

Number of Groups

9192

8229

8229

2377

2067

2067

R2 within

0.0001

0.0001

0.0002

0.0009

0.0006

0.0011

R2 between

0.0007

0.0023

0.0019

0.0043

0.0025

0.0032

R2 overall

0.0005

0.0006

0.0007

0.005

0.0045

0.0032

F

31.17

28.84

21.91

75.21

41.85

48.60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 6 (Continued)

Panel B: Fund of Funds

Cannot be Purchased Directly (Model 1-3)

Can be Purchased Directly (Model 4-6)

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Flow Intercept

0.299***

0.119

-0.0476***

-0.0376***

 

(4.93)

(1.56)

(-5.22)

(-3.05)

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

-2.110***

-1.388***

-1.009***

-1.335***

-1.251***

-1.304***

 

(-8.28)

(-6.24)

(-3.46)

(-6.69)

(-6.26)

(-6.48)

Flow Slope

6.913***

2.628**

0.301***

0.110

 

(6.35)

(2.19)

(4.48)

(1.21)

Constant

0.349***

0.363***

0.360***

0.182***

0.190***

0.184***

 

(59.86)

(43.21)

(32.26)

(106.66)

(178.21)

(83.88)

Observations

73356

86145

59974

69842

70019

69842

Number of Groups

1448

1840

1301

1280

1283

1280

R2 within

0.0014

0.0009

0.0004

0.001

0.0009

0.001

R2 between

0.0006

0.0019

0.0063

0.1568

0.184

0.2004

R2 overall

0.0002

0.0003

0.0014

0.0631

0.0773

0.0799

F

52.14

39.52

7.247

34.95

31.83

23.79

 


 

Figure 5. Marginal Effects for Flow-Performance Slope in Alpha Regressions in Rolling Subsample Years, based on Table 5 

This figure presents the marginal effects of the regression models in Table 5 for flow analyses 2003-2005 and alpha in 2006, flow models 2004-2006 and alpha in 2007, flow models 2005-2007 and alpha regressions in 2008, etc.  The marginal effects are for a 1-standard deviation change in flow-slope on alpha, as per Table 5.


Figure 6. Marginal Effects for Flow-Performance Intercept in Alpha Regressions in Rolling Subsample Years, based on Table 5

This figure presents the marginal effects of the regression models in Table 5 for flow performance intercept flow analyses 2003-2005 and alpha in 2006, flow models 2004-2006 and alpha in 2007, flow models 2005-2007 and alpha regressions in 2008, etc.  The marginal effects  are for a 1-standard deviation change in flow-performance intercept on alpha, as per Table 5.


 

Figure 7. Marginal Effects for Affiliated Dealer Flow in Alpha Regressions in Rolling Subsample Years, based on Table 6 

 

This figure presents the marginal effects of the regression models in Table 6 for affiliated dealer flow analyses 2003-2005 and alpha in 2006, flow models 2004-2006 and alpha in 2007, flow models 2005-2007 and alpha regressions in 2008, etc.  The marginal effects  are for a 1-standard deviation change in dealer affiliated on alpha, as per Table 6.



associated with a reduction in future alpha by 2.39% (Model 3 for stand-alone funds not purchased directly), 7.03% (Model 6 for stand-alone funds purchased directly ), 2.85% (Model 9 for fund-of-funds not purchased directly), and 4.07% (Model 12 for fund-of-funds purchased directly).  As in Figures 5 and 6, we consider the stability of these estimates over time, and find they are most pronounced in 2007 for all of the fund categories, and in 2011 for stand-alone funds purchased directly; see Figure 7.  Overall, these effects are the least pronounced for  stand-alone funds that are not purchased directly.  Also, it is notable that in some years, affiliated dealer flows appear to help future performance (or at least not hurt performance) such as in 2009 and 2012, and generally the negative effects of affiliated  dealer flows are least pronounced for all fund categories in the financial crisis years from 2008-2010.

5. Conclusion

This paper presented proprietary data obtained directly from mutual fund managers in Canada that relate detailed mutual fund fee structures to specific types of fund flows, and to performance.  The data in this study has been gathered with the view towards better informing academics, practitioners and policymakers about the relationship between specific types of mutual fund fees and flows, and how fees and flows are related in conjunction to fund performance.

In the first part of the analysis, we presented data consistent with the view that prior alpha affects future fund flows, and this relationship is strongly influenced by fund fees. Regression analyses comparing across funds and over time indicated that trailer fees flatten the flow-performance relationship, and give rise to more flow regardless of performance.  Similar effects on the flow-performance relation were found for other fee types such as deferred sales charges.

In the second part of the analysis, we presented data that strongly indicated that there is a close relation between flow-performance intercept and slope, fee structures, and future alpha.  For stand-alone funds that cannot be purchased directly, regression analyses comparing across funds and over time indicate that a 1-standard deviation increase in flow-performance slope is associated with an increase in alpha by 4.9% relative to the average monthly alpha.  Further, the data indicate a 1-standard deviation increase in trailer fees and deferred sales charges is indirectly associated with a reduction in future alpha by 5.2% and 2.4% relative to the average monthly alpha, respectively.  We provided an analysis of the subsample of funds that changed their fees over time, and the data on the subsample are strongly consistent with these statistics.  Further, for stand-alone funds that can be purchased directly, and for fund-of-funds, the results are in part consistent with the above results, but with some differences in terms of the statistical significance and the size of the effects.

 


 

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Appendix I.  Summary Statistics for Mutual Fund Fees

This appendix presents mutual fund fee summary statistics by different purchase option types. Based on types of dealership, funds are categorized as “series cannot be purchased directly from fund manager” and “series can be purchased directly from fund manager”. Based on types of sales charges, funds are categorized as “Deferred Sales Charges”, “Front-end load”, “Fee Based” and “No Load”. Variables marked as “$” are recorded in Canadian dollars; variables marked as “%” are recorded as percentages to total asset under management.

 

 

Table I.1. Panel A. Stand-alone funds

 

Deferred Sales Charge

Front-end load

Fee Based

No load

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.4469

0.7246

 

0.6536

Trailer Slope

0.3333

0.311

 

-0.0684

Initial Trailer Length(Years)

5.7231

6.0792

 

4.7240

Subsequent Trailer Fee (%)

0.5881

0.7343

 

0.6374

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee(Years)

1.1710

1.1804

 

1.0307

Subsequent Trailer Fee 2 (%)

0.2941

0.7048

 

0.6435

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 2(Years)

1.3233

1.4689

 

0.9945

Subsequent Trailer Fee 3 (%)

0.2716

0.7048

 

0.6311

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 3(Years)

0.1611

0.2339

 

0.0000

Subsequent Trailer Fee 4 (%)

0.2716

0.7048

 

0.6311

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

3.5200

0.0000

 

0.0000

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

2.3000

2.0800

1.1980

1.6100

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

1.2983

1.2348

0.9170

1.4177

Total One-Time Referral Fees ($)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

Total On-Going Referral Fees Paid ($)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers ($)

0.0004

0.0002

0.0008

0.0001

Front End Commissions Paid ($)

352163.4151

Management Fee (%)

1.7804

1.6250

1.2323

0.9747

Performance Fee (%)

0.0645

0.0412

0.2104

0.0542

Negotiated Management Fees Paid ($)

127941.9352

99297.5415

361674.0947

311002.6448

Maximum Front End Commission for FE purchases (%)

0.0000

4.5281

0.0000

0.0000

Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

1.9984

1.9977

1.9629

1.9751

Deferred Sales Charges Amount Year 1 (%)

4.7928

 

DSC Slope

-0.1860

 

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers (%)

0.0004

0.0002

0.0008

0.0001

Front End Commissions Paid (%)

0.5628

Negotiated Management Fees Paid (%)

0.0958

0.0620

0.2483

0.1103

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                               

                                               

                               

Table I.1. Panel B. Fund-of-funds

Deferred Sales Charge

Front-end load

Fee Based

No load

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.5265

0.8116

 

0.8536

Trailer Slope

-0.0765

-0.0866

 

-0.0762

Initial Trailer Length(Years)

4.8883

5.1198

 

4.8685

Subsequent Trailer Fee (%)

0.6796

0.8154

 

0.8293

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee(Years)

1.1117

1.1121

 

1.0644

Subsequent Trailer Fee 2 (%)

0.2767

0.7799

 

0.8387

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 2(Years)

1.0005

1.0005

 

0.9947

Subsequent Trailer Fee 3 (%)

0.2469

0.7799

 

0.8199

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 3(Years)

0.0000

0.0000

 

0.0000

Subsequent Trailer Fee 4 (%)

0.2469

0.7799

 

0.8199

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

2.9059

0.0000

 

0.0000

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

2.2200

2.0000

1.2843

1.9500

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

1.1743

1.1731

0.6050

1.8245

Total One-Time Referral Fees ($)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

Total On-Going Referral Fees Paid ($)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers ($)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0004

0.0001

Front End Commissions Paid ($)

487621.3485

Management Fee (%)

1.8787

1.7851

1.3369

0.9903

Performance Fee (%)

0.0875

0.0637

0.1035

0.0811

Negotiated Management Fees Paid ($)

512872.4944

383277.3938

230503.6664

362683.0820

Maximum Front End Commission for FE purchases (%)

0.0000

4.4362

0.0000

0.0000

Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

2.0000

1.9995

1.9989

1.9906

Deferred Sales Charges Amount Year 1 (%)

4.2111

 

DSC Slope

-0.1488

 

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers (%)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0004

0.0001

Front End Commissions Paid (%)

0.3875

Negotiated Management Fees Paid (%)

0.5328

0.5230

0.5507

0.2503


Appendix II. Additional Robustness Checks for Flow-Performance Regressions

 

This appendix provides additional robustness checks for the flow-performance sensitivity regressions in section 4.1 of the paper.  The analysis here shows that the inferences about flow-performance sensitivity being negatively affected by trailer fees and deferred sales charges, among other things indicated in Table 3 and accompanying text, are robust to different specifications.  We explicitly show this fact by providing a number of alternative specifications below.  While there are some differences in some of the variables analyzed here relative to those in Table 3 and accompanying text, those differences do not give rise to material differences in the inferences that can be drawn from the data and do not affect the conclusions from this report.

Table II.1 presents regression analyses of fund flows relative to past performance for all of the funds in the data.  The basic model specification is as follows:

Flowt+1 = Constant + β1 * Alphat + β2 * Alpha2t + β3 * Purchase Option Dummy + β4 * Purchase Option Dummy * Alphat + β5 * controls + residuals

The regression is estimated as a panel model with random effects across each fund series/purchase option combination (FundSERV code) and month.   Table II.1 Panel A presents similar regressions as in Table 3 Model 6, with the difference being that each of the models in Table II.1 Panel A use different dependent variables for flow.  Model 1 in Table II.1 Panel A uses the sum total of all types of inflows less outflows, Model 2 uses PAC inflows – SWP outflows, Model 3 uses switches in less switches out, Model 4 uses reinvested distributions less paid distributions, Model 5 uses affiliated broker-deal inflows less affiliated dealer outflows, and Model 6 uses affiliated investment fund inflows less affiliated investment fund outflows.  In all of the models, the dependent variable is measured relative to prior period AUM.  Table II.1 Panel A presents the regressions for the funds where purchases cannot be made directly from the fund company, while Table II.1 Panel B presents the regressions where purchases can be directly made from the fund company.

For funds that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, Table II.1 Panel A indicates that flow is significantly positively related to past performance for the sum total of all types of flows (Model 1, statistically significant at the 1% level), PAC Inflows – SWP Outflows (Model 2, significant at the 5% level), switches (Model 3, significant at the 1% level), and affiliated investment fund flows (Model 6, significant at the 1% level), and negatively related to reinvested distributions less paid distributions (Model 4, significant at the 1% level).  The economic significance is such at that 1-standard deviation increase in prior period alpha gives rise to a 65.7% increase in all flows (Model 1), a 1.1% increase in PAC inflows – SWP outflows, a 30.4% increase in switches in less to switches out, a 3.6% decrease in reinvested distributions less paid distributions, a 1.2% increase in affiliated broker dealer flows (although statistically insignificant), and a 2.9% increase in affiliated investment fund flows.  The fact that affiliated fund flows show no statistical sensitivity to past performance is a notable finding.  New PAC-SWP flows are not statistically related to past performance (Model 2).  A number of interaction terms with purchase options and prior performance are statistically significant in Table II.2 Panel A.  Deferred sales charges, front end, and no load purchase options flatten the overall flow-performance relationship (relative to the fee based option) in Model 1. 

For funds that can be purchased directly from the fund company, Table II.1 Panel B indicates that flow is significantly positively related to past performance only for all inflows – all outflows (Model 7), switches (Model 9), and affiliated dealer flows (Model 11).  PAC-SWP


 

 

 

Table II.1.  Regression Analysis of Flow Types for Different Purchase Options

 

This table presents unbalanced FundSERV fixed effects panel regressions of the determinants of the percentage fund net flow (one period ahead) for different types of flow.  Explanatory variables include alphas, purchase options (deferred sales charge, front end, fee based and no load), and interaction terms with purchase options and lagged alphas.  Variables are as defined in Table 1.  Standard errors are clustered by FundSERV code.  T-statistics are in parentheses.  *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

Panel A. Stand-Alone Fund, Cannot be Purchased Directly

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

PAC Inflows - SWP Outflows

Switches In - Switches Out

Reinvested Distributions - Paid Distributions

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

Affiliated Investment Funds Inflows - Outflows

Alpha Lagged

0.00461***

0.00000496**

0.000915***

-0.00000918***

0.0000340

0.000217***

 

(26.48)

(2.38)

(13.85)

(-2.76)

(1.34)

(2.95)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000189***

-0.000000617*

0.0000827***

-0.00000164***

0.0000201***

-0.00000892

 

(6.32)

(-1.69)

(7.29)

(-2.81)

(4.58)

(-0.69)

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.0118***

0.000133***

-0.00243***

-0.000322***

-0.000347***

-0.00127

 

(-17.38)

(6.96)

(-10.13)

(-11.09)

(-2.90)

(-1.59)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.00287***

-0.00000408*

-0.000274***

0.00000976***

-0.0000326

-0.000246***

 

(-14.96)

(-1.78)

(-3.76)

(2.66)

(-1.17)

(-3.02)

Purchase Option Front End

-0.00935***

0.0000944***

-0.000433*

-0.000204***

-0.000102

-0.00558***

 

(-13.61)

(4.84)

(-1.78)

(-6.89)

(-0.84)

(-6.81)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

-0.00253***

-0.00000939***

-0.000409***

-0.00000131

-0.0000181

-0.000194**

 

(-13.03)

(-4.04)

(-5.54)

(-0.35)

(-0.64)

(-2.36)

Purchase Option No Load

-0.000650

0.000117***

0.00242***

-0.000261***

0.00198***

-0.00424***

 

(-0.65)

(3.85)

(6.80)

(-5.71)

(11.12)

(-3.21)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

-0.00112***

0.00000151

-0.0000402

-0.00000593

0.000405***

0.000875***

 

(-3.56)

(0.40)

(-0.34)

(-0.97)

(8.82)

(6.47)

Constant

0.0154***

0.000168***

0.00236***

0.0000260

0.00162***

0.00893***

 

(24.91)

(9.54)

(10.84)

(0.97)

(14.87)

(11.93)

Number of Observations

802078

802078

802078

802078

802078

802078

Number of groups

14357

14357

14357

14357

14357

14357

R2 within

0.0024

0.0001

0.0013

0.0001

0.0003

0.0001

R2 between

0.0443

0.0011

0.0342

0.0091

0.0157

0.0073

R2 overall

0.0102

0.0005

0.0076

0.0056

0.0031

0.003

Wald Chi2

2558.70***

79.63***

1502.41***

197.21***

467.81***

173.33***

 

 

 

 

Table II.1 (Continued)

Panel B. Stand-Alone Funds: Can be Purchased Directly

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

PAC Inflows - SWP Outflows

Switches In - Switches Out

Reinvested Distributions - Paid Distributions

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

Affiliated Investment Funds Inflows - Outflows

Alpha Lagged

0.00217***

-0.0000207***

0.000901***

-0.0000633***

0.000122**

-0.000463***

 

(6.41)

(-5.76)

(8.02)

(-6.41)

(2.09)

(-2.71)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000418***

0.00000151

0.000101**

-0.00000753**

0.0000107

0.0000336

 

(3.45)

(1.18)

(2.53)

(-2.14)

(0.51)

(0.55)

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.0147***

0.0000230

-0.00326***

-0.000362**

-0.00532***

-0.0776***

 

(-9.42)

(0.67)

(-4.73)

(-2.46)

(-12.98)

(-25.15)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

0.000897*

0.00000576

-0.000675***

0.0000493***

-0.000139

0.000343

 

(1.77)

(1.07)

(-4.01)

(3.34)

(-1.59)

(1.34)

Purchase Option Front End

-0.0122***

-0.0000658*

-0.00270***

0.0000511

-0.00381***

-0.0754***

 

(-6.72)

(-1.66)

(-3.39)

(0.30)

(-8.06)

(-21.32)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

0.00259***

0.00000875

-0.000125

0.0000432***

0.000117

0.000387

 

(5.16)

(1.64)

(-0.75)

(2.94)

(1.35)

(1.53)

Purchase Option No Load

-0.0133***

0.000343***

-0.00441***

-0.00121***

-0.00473***

-0.0578***

 

(-7.83)

(9.28)

(-5.89)

(-7.94)

(-10.65)

(-18.59)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

-0.000788

0.00000881

0.0000711

0.0000762***

-0.000188

0.000489

 

(-1.10)

(1.16)

(0.30)

(3.66)

(-1.52)

(1.36)

Constant

0.0210***

0.000173***

0.00598***

0.000983***

0.00670***

0.0729***

 

(25.08)

(9.38)

(16.19)

(12.64)

(30.54)

(44.81)

Number of Observations

164078

164078

164078

164078

164078

164078

Number of groups

2407

2407

2407

2407

2407

2407

R2 within

0.0018

0.0003

0.0009

0.0003

0.0001

0.0001

R2 between

0.0557

0.0418

0.0231

0.0282

0.0923

0.2967

R2 overall

0.0192

0.0452

0.0044

0.0245

0.0547

0.2169

Wald chi2

436.80***

158.69***

194.69***

125.10***

259.68***

1003.76***

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table II.1 (Continued)

Panel C. Fund of Funds, Cannot be Purchased Directly

 

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Alpha Lagged

0.00300***

0.00258***

0.00197***

0.00377***

0.00349***

0.00140***

 

(10.42)

(7.63)

(8.49)

(8.55)

(6.77)

(3.95)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.00105***

-0.000561***

-0.000162

0.00104***

-0.000569***

-0.000165

 

(6.39)

(-2.89)

(-1.22)

(6.32)

(-2.93)

(-1.24)

Purchase Option Fee Based

0.00421**

-0.0158***

-0.00369

 

 

 

 

(2.51)

(-4.02)

(-1.20)

 

 

 

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Fee Based

0.00148***

0.00136**

-0.000643

 

 

 

 

(2.76)

(2.18)

(-1.49)

 

 

 

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

 

 

 

-0.00749***

0.0137***

0.00493

 

 

 

 

(-4.35)

(3.21)

(1.44)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

 

 

 

-0.000961

-0.000825

0.000749

 

 

 

 

(-1.60)

(-1.17)

(1.55)

Purchase Option Front End

 

 

 

-0.00402**

0.0130***

0.000637

 

 

 

 

(-2.36)

(3.25)

(0.20)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

 

 

 

-0.000164

-0.00103

0.000645

 

 

 

 

(-0.28)

(-1.50)

(1.37)

Purchase Option No Load

 

 

 

0.00244

0.00721

-0.00833**

 

 

 

 

(1.13)

(1.36)

(-1.96)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

 

 

 

-0.000814

0.000822

-0.000656

 

 

 

 

(-0.78)

(0.67)

(-0.78)

Constant

0.0131***

-0.0156***

-0.0158***

0.0174***

-0.0283***

-0.0172***

 

(21.39)

(-10.12)

(-12.63)

(12.08)

(-8.05)

(-6.19)

Number of Observations

125618

125618

125618

125618

125618

125618

Number of groups

2370

2370

2370

2370

2370

2370

R2 within

0.0027

0.0009

0.0007

0.0026

0.0009

0.0008

R2 between

0.0137

0.0034

0.0001

0.0282

0.0029

0.0029

R2 overall

0.0067

0.0092

0.0025

0.0077

0.0057

0.0008

Wald chi2

358.78

119.67

90.04

386.54

116.27

104.62

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table II.1 (Continued)

Panel D. Fund of Funds, Can be Purchased Directly

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Alpha Lagged

0.00346***

0.00293***

0.00115***

0.00184***

0.00297***

0.000632

 

(12.87)

(7.30)

(3.95)

(3.28)

(3.53)

(1.04)

Alpha Lagged ^2

-0.000402**

0.00112***

0.000630***

-0.000402**

0.00111***

0.000634***

 

(-2.50)

(4.67)

(3.62)

(-2.50)

(4.60)

(3.64)

Purchase Option Fee Based

0.00372**

-0.0349***

-0.00717

 

(2.04)

(-6.42)

(-1.44)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Fee Based

-0.00172***

0.000401

-0.000852

 

 

 

 

(-2.60)

(0.41)

(-1.19)

 

 

 

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

 

 

 

-0.00521***

0.0387***

0.00603

 

 

 

 

(-2.72)

(6.96)

(1.14)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

 

 

 

0.000799

-0.00101

0.000488

 

 

 

 

(1.19)

(-1.01)

(0.67)

Purchase Option Front End

 

 

 

-0.00276

0.0369***

0.00888

 

 

 

 

(-1.36)

(6.31)

(1.60)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

0.00255***

0.00125

0.000484

 

(3.70)

(1.20)

(0.65)

Purchase Option No Load

0.00271

-0.00571

0.00949

 

(0.86)

(-0.64)

(1.12)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

0.00458**

0.000732

-0.000602

 

(2.08)

(0.22)

(-0.25)

Constant

0.0111***

-0.0279***

-0.0417***

0.0148***

-0.0626***

-0.0490***

 

(15.31)

(-12.93)

(-21.07)

(8.90)

(-13.06)

(-10.75)

Number of Observations

89024

89024

89024

89024

89024

89024

Number of groups

1551

1551

1551

1551

1551

1551

R2 within

0.0017

0.0011

0.0003

0.0019

0.0012

0.0003

R2 between

0.0332

0.0235

0.0075

0.0352

0.0398

0.0064

R2 overall

0.0079

0.0159

0.0074

0.0097

0.0327

0.0063

Wald chi2

178.9

137.27

34.51

202.7

178.53

34.41

 

 

 

 

 


flows, reinvested distributions less paid distributions, and affiliated investment fund flows are negatively related to past performance in Models 7, 10, and 12, respectively. For funds-of-funds (Table II.2 Panels C and D), past performance is positively and significantly related to all types of inflows net of outflows in Models 1-11, while Model 12 shows a positive but marginally insignificant effect.

            Table II.2 presents regression analyses of fund flows relative to past performance for the subset of funds that do not allow for fee based purchase options (i.e., only including funds that allow for deferred sales charges and trailer fees).  The basic model specification is as follows:

Flowt+1 = Constant + β1 * Alphat + β2 * Alpha2t + β3 * MERt + β4 * MERt * Alphat + β5 * Other Type of Feet + β6 * Other Type of Feet * Alphat + β5 * controls + residuals

The regression is analogous to that presented in Table 4 of the main part of the paper.  The regression is estimated as a panel model with fixed effects across each FundSERV code and month.   The dependent variables in Table II.2 are the total inflows less total outflows, total monthly pre-authorized contribution (PAC) inflows less total monthly systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) outflows, switches in and switches out, reinvested distributions and distributions to unit holders, and affiliated dealer and affiliated investment funds inflows and outflows) in Models 1-6, respectively (and likewise in Models 7-12, respectively).  Each of the dependent variables in the models is divided by AUM at start of month.  Models 1-6 present the data for series that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, while Models 7-12 are for the subset of funds where purchases can be made directly from the fund company.  The regressions include a variety of variables that specifically identify the different types of fees and interaction terms with these fees and prior performance, including MER, trading expense ratio, maximum posted initial trailer, trailer slope, deferred sales charges in year 1, deferred sales charges slope, sales commissions on deferred sales charges, maximum front end commission, maximum posted switch fee, other payments to broker dealers, front end commissions paid, performance fees, negotiated management fees.  The regressions also control for the minimum purchase amount.

            For the series that cannot be purchased directly from the fund company, Table II.2 indicates that prior alphas are negatively related to future flows for all types of inflows and outflows aggregated together (Model 1, significant at the 5% level), the subset of PAC-SWP flows (Model 2, significant at the 1% level), switches in less switches out (Model 3, significant at the 1% level), and for affiliated investment fund inflows less outflows (Model 6, significant at the 1% level).  Prior performance is statistically unrelated to future flows for reinvested distributions less paid distributions (Model 4), and for affiliated dealer inflows less outflows (Model 5), again a notable result.  Higher management fees are associated with higher flows regardless of past performance for all inflows less outflows (Model 1), PAC Inflows – AWP outflows (Model 2), affiliated dealer inflows less outflows (Model 5), and affiliated investment fund inflows less outflows (Model 6).  There are lower total flows (Model 1) regardless of past performance for funds with higher trading expense ratios, higher initial deferred sales charges, increasing subsequent deferred sales charges, higher sales commissions for deferred sales charges, higher other payments to broker dealers.  There are higher total flows (Model 1) regardless of past performance for funds with higher maximum front end commission, higher front end commissions paid, higher performance fees, and higher negotiated management fees paid.  Prior performance * MER increases the sensitivity of flow to performance for PAC-SWP flows (Model 2), and affiliated dealer flows (Model 5) and affiliated investment fund inflows


Table II.2. Regression Analysis of Flow Types

 

This table presents unbalanced panel regressions of the determinants of different types of fund flow (one period ahead) excluding the subsample of fee-based purchase option types.  Explanatory variables include alphas, purchase options (deferred sales charge, front end, fee based, and no load), and interaction terms with purchase options, fees and lagged alphas.  Also, there are a number of control variables for fund characteristics, style, and structure, as described in Table 1.   T-statistics are in parentheses. *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

 

Panel A. Stand-Alone Fund, Cannot be Purchased Directly

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

PAC Inflows - SWP Outflows

Switches In - Switches Out

Reinvested Distributions - Paid Distributions

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

Affiliated Investment Funds Inflows - Outflows

Alpha Lagged

-0.00462**

-0.0000543***

-0.00187***

-0.0000260

-0.000373

-0.00181***

 

(-2.53)

(-2.75)

(-2.65)

(-0.74)

(-1.46)

(-2.81)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000191***

-0.00000141***

0.0000858***

-0.00000206***

0.0000152***

0.0000370***

 

(5.18)

(-3.54)

(6.01)

(-2.91)

(2.95)

(2.84)

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

0.00239***

0.0000479***

-0.000110

-0.00000732

0.000355***

0.000558***

 

(8.16)

(15.05)

(-0.97)

(-1.30)

(8.62)

(5.38)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

0.000136

0.00000380***

-0.0000857*

0.0000101***

-0.0000910***

0.000326***

 

(1.03)

(2.64)

(-1.67)

(3.96)

(-4.90)

(6.95)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

-0.000138***

-0.00000147***

-0.0000274**

-0.000000232

-0.0000292***

-0.0000319***

 

(-4.87)

(-4.78)

(-2.50)

(-0.43)

(-7.34)

(-3.18)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.00000101

0.000000247

-0.0000218**

6.75e-10

0.00000247

-0.0000330***

 

(-0.04)

(0.89)

(-2.18)

(0.00)

(0.69)

(-3.62)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

-0.00203

0.0000698***

-0.00196***

-0.0000698***

-0.000271

0.000859*

 

(-1.49)

(4.73)

(-3.71)

(-2.68)

(-1.42)

(1.78)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.000197

0.00000303

0.000875***

-0.0000225***

0.000295***

-0.000293***

 

(0.73)

(1.03)

(8.35)

(-4.35)

(7.79)

(-3.06)

Trailer Slope

0.000957

-0.0000935***

-0.000596

0.0000378*

0.00198***

-0.00363***

 

(0.82)

(-7.36)

(-1.31)

(1.68)

(12.04)

(-8.77)

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

0.00378***

0.0000177***

0.00161***

-0.0000232**

-0.000586***

-0.00110***

 

(6.30)

(2.72)

(6.93)

(-2.02)

(-6.98)

(-5.18)

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

-0.0400***

-0.000357***

-0.0159***

0.000444**

-0.0175***

0.00228

 

(-4.02)

(-3.31)

(-4.12)

(2.32)

(-12.55)

(0.65)

Alpha Lagged *DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

-0.000670***

0.00000523***

0.000122**

0.000000520

0.0000263

0.000165***

 

(-4.84)

(3.48)

(2.28)

(0.20)

(1.35)

(3.37)

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.0635***

0.00155***

0.00806*

-0.000506**

-0.0267***

0.0205***

 

(-5.21)

(11.75)

(1.71)

(-2.16)

(-15.60)

(4.75)

Alpha Lagged * DSC Slope

-0.0185***

0.0000491**

-0.00583***

-0.0000725*

0.000217

-0.00234***

 

(-8.37)

(2.05)

(-6.83)

(-1.72)

(0.70)

(-3.01)

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

-0.00173***

0.0000298***

-0.000235

-0.0000707***

-0.000384***

0.000341*

 

(-3.35)

(5.31)

(-1.17)

(-7.13)

(-5.29)

(1.86)

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission paid for DSC

-0.000342***

-0.00000262***

0.0000264

-0.000000587

0.0000137**

-0.0000621***

 

(-7.31)

(-5.17)

(1.46)

(-0.66)

(2.10)

(-3.76)

 

 

Table II.2. Panel A. (Continued)

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

PAC Inflows - SWP Outflows

Switches In - Switches Out

Reinvested Distributions - Paid Distributions

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

Affiliated Investment Funds Inflows - Outflows

Maximum Front End Commission (%)

0.00626***

0.0000517***

0.000572

-0.000164***

0.000590***

-0.0000120

 

(5.22)

(3.97)

(1.23)

(-7.16)

(3.51)

(-0.03)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission (%)

-0.000242***

-0.00000356***

-0.0000862***

-0.000000227

-0.0000514***

-0.0000955***

 

(-5.64)

(-7.66)

(-5.19)

(-0.28)

(-8.56)

(-6.30)

Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

-0.00631

-0.000110

0.00317

-0.000107

0.0000923

-0.000222

 

(-0.40)

(-0.64)

(0.51)

(-0.35)

(0.04)

(-0.04)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

0.00374***

0.0000176*

0.000228

0.00000164

0.000208

0.000354

 

(4.04)

(1.75)

(0.64)

(0.09)

(1.61)

(1.08)

Other payment to Dealer and Broker (%)

-42.43***

0.245***

-7.336***

-0.495***

-4.853***

10.91***

 

(-11.30)

(6.01)

(-5.04)

(-6.88)

(-9.23)

(8.21)

Alpha Lagged * Other payment to Dealer and Broker

-7.908***

-0.0631**

-0.844

0.116**

0.299

-9.635***

 

(-2.76)

(-2.03)

(-0.76)

(2.12)

(0.75)

(-9.52)

Front End Commission paid (%)

0.0271***

0.000119***

0.00589***

-0.000280***

0.00387***

0.0350***

 

(30.36)

(12.32)

(17.05)

(-16.38)

(30.93)

(111.01)

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission paid

0.00236***

0.000000320

0.000428*

0.0000252**

0.00000141

0.00216***

 

(3.58)

(0.04)

(1.68)

(2.00)

(0.02)

(9.29)

Performance Fee (%)

0.0168***

-0.0000830

0.00598***

0.0000634

0.00159**

0.000743

 

(3.09)

(-1.41)

(2.84)

(0.61)

(2.09)

(0.39)

Alpha Lagged*Performance Fee

0.000287

-0.00000354*

0.000163**

0.0000128***

0.000214***

-0.000125*

 

(1.55)

(-1.77)

(2.27)

(3.61)

(8.27)

(-1.91)

Negotiated Management Fee (%)

0.0236***

0.000134***

0.00326***

-0.0000362

0.00143***

0.0282***

 

(19.04)

(9.96)

(6.79)

(-1.52)

(8.24)

(64.20)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

0.00245***

0.0000193*

-0.00100***

-0.0000116

-0.000243*

0.00128***

 

(2.59)

(1.88)

(-2.74)

(-0.64)

(-1.84)

(3.82)

Minimum Purchase Amount($)

-2.45e-10

1.82e-12

-9.57e-10***

5.39e-13

2.51e-11

3.03e-10***

 

(-1.35)

(0.93)

(-13.66)

(0.16)

(0.99)

(4.73)

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

-2.00e-10*

3.33e-13

4.41e-11

-3.45e-13

-6.93e-12

-7.18e-11*

 

(-1.68)

(0.26)

(0.96)

(-0.15)

(-0.42)

(-1.71)

Constant

0.210***

0.00246***

0.0841***

-0.00194

0.0923***

-0.00993

 

(3.23)

(3.47)

(3.33)

(-1.55)

(10.10)

(-0.43)

Number of Observations

508121

508121

508121

508121

508121

508121

Number of groups

9595

9595

9595

9595

9595

9595

R2 within

0.0019

0.0027

0.001

0.0006

0.0009

0.1175

R2 between

0.0021

0.0025

0.0004

0.0005

0.0007

0.1203

R2 overall

0.0016

0.0021

0.0002

0.0002

0.0004

0.1156

F

94.31***

34.48***

51.02***

21.12***

68.96***

632.6***

 

 

 

Table II.2 (Continued) Panel B. Stand-Alone Funds, Can be Purchased Directly

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

 

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

PAC Inflows - SWP Outflows

Switches In - Switches Out

Reinvested Distributions - Paid Distributions

Affiliated Dealer Inflows - Outflows

Affiliated Investment Funds Inflows - Outflows

 

Alpha Lagged

0.00518***

0.000118***

-0.00408***

0.0000891

-0.00175***

-0.000591

 

 

(2.60)

(5.31)

(-5.92)

(1.51)

(-5.27)

(-0.56)

 

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000572***

0.00000141

0.000117**

-0.00000379

0.0000257

0.0000222

 

 

(4.32)

(0.95)

(2.55)

(-0.96)

(1.17)

(0.32)

 

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

-0.00170*

-0.0000870***

0.000792**

0.000185***

-0.000308**

0.000462

 

 

(-1.85)

(-8.47)

(2.49)

(6.79)

(-2.01)

(0.95)

 

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

0.00479***

0.00000219

0.000666***

0.000173***

0.000812***

0.000921***

 

 

(9.11)

(0.37)

(3.66)

(11.10)

(9.28)

(3.31)

 

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

-0.000823***

0.000000987

-0.000196***

0.000000403

-0.0000347**

0.000150***

 

 

(-7.88)

(0.85)

(-5.42)

(0.13)

(-1.99)

(2.70)

 

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

0.000217**

-0.00000168

0.0000805**

0.00000764**

-0.0000105

-0.0000550

 

 

(2.15)

(-1.50)

(2.31)

(2.55)

(-0.62)

(-1.03)

 

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.0206***

-0.000431***

0.00565***

0.000128

0.00621***

0.0342***

 

 

(4.47)

(-8.35)

(3.54)

(0.93)

(8.06)

(13.92)

 

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

-0.000539

-0.0000376***

0.00107***

-0.000139***

0.000730***

-0.000170

 

 

(-0.50)

(-3.14)

(2.88)

(-4.35)

(4.08)

(-0.30)

 

Trailer Slope

0.00676***

-0.0000437***

0.00126***

-0.000247***

-0.0000518

-0.0000866

 

 

(8.24)

(-4.78)

(4.44)

(-10.17)

(-0.38)

(-0.20)

 

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

0.000182

0.0000519***

-0.000308

0.0000475**

0.000207

0.0000947

 

 

(0.23)

(5.85)

(-1.12)

(2.01)

(1.57)

(0.22)

 

Alpha Lagged *DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

-0.000382**

-0.00000669***

0.000174***

-0.0000150***

-0.00000439

-0.0000969

 

 

(-2.37)

(-3.72)

(3.12)

(-3.12)

(-0.16)

(-1.13)

 

Alpha Lagged * DSC Slope

0.0537***

0.000575***

-0.0161***

0.00158***

-0.000572

0.00222

 

 

(6.68)

(6.41)

(-5.81)

(6.62)

(-0.43)

(0.52)

 

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

0.0127*

-0.000321***

0.000935

-0.000500**

0.00155

0.00943**

 

 

(1.69)

(-3.83)

(0.36)

(-2.24)

(1.24)

(2.37)

 

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission paid for DSC

0.000170

0.0000153***

-0.000313***

0.00000618

-0.0000128

-0.0000428

 

 

(0.78)

(6.32)

(-4.16)

(0.96)

(-0.35)

(-0.37)

 

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission (%)

0.000910***

0.00000676***

-0.000171***

0.0000231***

0.0000150

0.0000385

 

 

(7.85)

(5.23)

(-4.27)

(6.72)

(0.78)

(0.63)

  Constant

-0.00772

0.000793***

-0.00190

0.000666***

-0.00141*

0.00920***

 

 

(-1.56)

(14.38)

(-1.11)

(4.54)

(-1.72)

(3.51)

 

  Number of Observations

127381

127381

127381

127381

127381

127381

 

  Number of groups

1915

1915

1915

1915

1915

1915

 

  R2 within

0.0006

0.0022

0.0018

0.0509

0.0004

0.0305

 

  R2 between

0.0003

0.0014

0.0009

0.0573

0.0003

0.0236

 

  R2 overall

0.0001

0.0012

0.0008

0.0547

0.0001

0.0209

 

  F

43.99***

19.89***

17.51***

29.71***

13.72***

14.88***

 


less outflows (Model 6).  Flow-performance sensitivity is likewise higher for all flows considered together (Model 1) for funds with increasing subsequent trailer fees, a higher maximum posted switch fee, higher front end commissions, and higher negotiated management fees paid.  Flow-performance sensitivity is mitigated for all types of flows (Model 1) for funds with higher deferred sales charges, increasing subsequent deferred sales charges, higher sales commissions for deferred sales charges, higher maximum front end commissions, higher other payments to dealers, and higher minimum purchase amounts.

Table II.2 Models 7-12 present regressions for the series that can be purchased directly from the fund company.  The data indicate past performance is significantly positively related to future flows for all inflows and outflows (Model 7) and PAC-SWP flows (Model 8), but negatively related to future flows for switches in less switches out (Model 9), and affiliated dealer flows (Model 11).  Higher management fees are associated with higher flows regardless of past performance for switches (Model 9), reinvested distributions – paid distributions (Model 10), and lower for all flows together (Model 7), PAC Inflows – SWP Outflows (Model 8), and Affiliated Broker Dealer Inflows – Outflows (Model 11).  There are higher total flows (Model 7) regardless of past performance for funds with higher maximum posted initial trailers, higher subsequent trailer fees, and higher sales commissions for deferred sales charges.  There are lower total flows (Model 1) regardless of past performance for funds with higher MERs, and higher trading expense ratios. Flow-performance sensitivity is likewise higher for all flows considered together (Model 7) for funds with higher MERs, higher trading expense ratios, increasing subsequent deferred sales charges, and higher maximum front end commissions.  Flow-performance sensitivity is mitigated for all types of flows (Model 7) for funds with higher maximum posted initial trailers and higher deferred sales charges.

Table II.3 presents differences between fund inflows and fund outflows.  The data indicate fund inflows are much more sensitive to past performance than fund outflows for each of the regressions for directly managed funds and fund-of-funds.  Also, the fee variables tend to have a more pronounced effect on inflows than outflows.  On explanation for this evidence is that purchasing a fund is less subject to behavioral biases than selling a fund, as investors are reluctant to sell after poor past performance in hopes of recouping their losses. Another explanation is that fees paid to dealers drive advice, and by extension investor buying decisions, but fees charged to investors on DSC and ongoing trailer fees earned by dealers drive advice and by extension reduce redemption activity.

Finally, note that we considered numerous other robustness checks and further specifications that are not reported here for reasons of conciseness.


Table II.3. Regression Analysis of Aggregate inflow and Aggregate outflow

 

This table presents unbalanced panel regressions of the determinants of total fund inflow and total outflow (one period ahead).  Explanatory variables include alphas, purchase options (deferred sales charge, front end, fee based, and no load), and interaction terms with purchase options and lagged alphas, as well as fee types.  In Panel A, random effects are used in Models 1 and 2.  Fixed effects are used in Models 3-8 in Panel A, and in Panels B and C.   T-statistics are in parentheses. *, **, *** Significant at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.

Panel A. Stand-Alone Funds:

Series Cannot be Purchased Directly from the fund company (Models 1 - 4)

Series Can be Purchased Directly from the fund company

 (Models 5- 8)

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Model 7

Model 8

 

All inflows

All outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Alpha Lagged

0.00147***

-0.000134

0.00493***

-0.00148

0.00341***

0.000761***

0.00726**

0.00500**

 

(6.97)

(-0.88)

(2.62)

(-1.03)

(10.37)

(2.88)

(2.39)

(2.06)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000106***

0.000147***

0.00000134

0.0000934***

0.000821***

-0.0000989

0.00107***

0.0000357

 

(2.88)

(5.51)

(0.03)

(3.18)

(4.54)

(-0.68)

(5.29)

(0.22)

Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.00224

0.0000268

 

(-1.21)

(0.02)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Deferred Sales Charge

-0.000915***

0.0000242

 

(-3.94)

(0.14)

Purchase Option Front End

0.00755***

0.00580***

 

(4.01)

(4.16)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Front End

-0.00111***

-0.0000970

 

(-4.72)

(-0.57)

Purchase Option No Load

-0.0228***

-0.0307***

 

(-7.84)

(-14.24)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option No Load

-0.00167***

0.000102

 

(-4.34)

(0.36)

Alpha Lagged * Purchase Option Fee Based

0.00346***

-0.000189

 

(4.09)

(-0.28)

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

0.000664**

-0.000983***

0.00266*

0.000852

 

(2.17)

(-4.21)

(1.90)

(0.76)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

-0.00129***

-0.000279***

0.00436***

-0.00191***

 

(-9.35)

(-2.65)

(5.46)

(-2.99)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

0.000105***

0.0000240

-0.000505***

-0.000212*

 

(3.55)

(1.06)

(-3.17)

(-1.67)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

0.0000652**

0.0000124

0.0000646

-0.00000902

 

(2.43)

(0.60)

(0.42)

(-0.07)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.00212

-0.00155

-0.0815***

-0.0797***

 

(1.50)

(-1.44)

(-11.57)

(-14.15)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

-0.000861***

0.00138***

-0.00383**

-0.00227*

 

(-3.06)

(6.40)

(-2.35)

(-1.74)

Trailer Slope

0.0145***

0.00647***

-0.0116***

-0.00923***

 

(11.89)

(6.94)

(-9.29)

(-9.25)

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

0.00120*

0.000992**

-0.00558***

-0.00150

 

(1.92)

(2.08)

(-4.61)

(-1.55)

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

0.00303

-0.000433

 

(0.30)

(-0.06)

Table II.3. (Continued)

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

Model 7

Model 8

 

All inflows

All outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Alpha Lagged *DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

-0.000796***

-0.0000960

-0.000572**

0.000202

 

(-5.54)

(-0.87)

(-2.33)

(1.03)

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.106***

-0.0433***

 

(-8.34)

(-4.45)

Alpha Lagged * DSC Slope

-0.00853***

-0.0106***

0.0401***

0.000692

 

(-3.74)

(-6.07)

(3.28)

(0.07)

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

-0.000397

-0.000365

-0.0454***

-0.0406***

 

(-0.74)

(-0.89)

(-3.95)

(-4.42)

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission paid for DSC

0.0000222

0.000107***

-0.00104***

-0.000268

 

(0.46)

(2.88)

(-3.15)

(-1.01)

Maximum Front End Commission (%)

0.000248

0.000944

 

(0.20)

(1.00)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission (%)

0.000189***

0.0000879**

0.000840***

-0.000157

 

(4.23)

(2.58)

(4.77)

(-1.12)

Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

-0.00113

0.00251

 

(-0.07)

(0.20)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

0.0000964

-0.000411

 

(0.10)

(-0.56)

Alpha Lagged * Other payment to Dealer and Broker

-6.947**

-8.771***

 

(-2.41)

(-3.98)

Front End Commission paid (%)

-0.0830***

-0.0695***

 

(-89.54)

(-98.00)

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission paid

-0.00150**

-0.00373***

 

(-2.19)

(-7.12)

Performance Fee (%)

0.00732

0.0000943

 

(1.35)

(0.02)

Alpha Lagged*Performance Fee

0.000360*

-0.0000290

 

(1.87)

(-0.20)

Negotiated Management Fee (%)

-0.0912***

-0.0210***

 

(-74.56)

(-22.42)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

0.00191*

-0.000801

 

(1.96)

(-1.07)

Minimum Purchase Amount($)

-2.10e-10

-3.00e-10**

 

(-1.12)

(-2.08)

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

-3.21e-10***

1.42e-10

 

(-2.59)

(1.50)

Constant

-0.0197***

-0.0137***

-0.0437

-0.0159

-0.0764***

-0.0560***

-0.0191**

0.00703

 

(-11.59)

(-10.84)

(-0.65)

(-0.31)

(-507.43)

(-462.86)

(-2.54)

(1.17)

Number of Observations

802078

802078

518181

518181

166444

166444

129270

129270

Number of groups

14357

14357

9801

9801

2411

2411

1918

1918

R2 within

0.0001

0.0001

0.0463

0.0145

0.02

0.097

0.0209

0.0226

R2 between

0.0154

0.0311

0.0396

0.0134

0.016

0.0088

0.0163

0.0203

R2 overall

0.0088

0.0107

0.0358

0.0128

0.016

0.0063

0.0147

0.0192

Wald Chi2 (Models 1 and 2) / F (Models 3-8)

271.21***

410.32***

506.8***

380.1***

80.59***

2.996***

32.94***

20.18***

 

Table II.3

Panel B. Fund of funds:  Series Cannot be Purchased Directly from the fund company (Models 1 - 6)

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Alpha Lagged

0.0149***

0.00514

-0.00827***

2.550

3.212

0.405

 

(4.28)

(1.49)

(-3.37)

(0.24)

(0.30)

(0.05)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000167

-0.000168

-0.000105

0.000268

-0.0000762

-0.0000716

 

(0.56)

(-0.56)

(-0.50)

(0.90)

(-0.26)

(-0.35)

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

0.00288***

-0.00719***

-0.00856***

0.00342***

-0.00642***

-0.00808***

 

(3.97)

(-9.98)

(-16.70)

(4.71)

(-9.03)

(-16.08)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

-0.000763

-0.00112

0.000451

-0.00140*

-0.00197***

-0.000108

 

(-1.03)

(-1.53)

(0.86)

(-1.85)

(-2.67)

(-0.21)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

0.000218**

0.000291***

0.000332***

0.000119

0.000138

0.000223***

 

(2.01)

(2.71)

(4.36)

(1.10)

(1.31)

(3.00)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

-0.0000804

-0.000359**

-0.000432***

0.0000551

-0.000180

-0.000319***

 

(-0.53)

(-2.40)

(-4.05)

(0.36)

(-1.21)

(-3.06)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

-0.000560

-0.0104**

-0.0108***

-0.000786

-0.0108***

-0.0113***

 

(-0.14)

(-2.56)

(-3.74)

(-0.19)

(-2.72)

(-4.02)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.00417***

0.00735***

0.00503***

0.00393***

0.00630***

0.00426***

 

(2.93)

(5.24)

(5.04)

(2.72)

(4.49)

(4.30)

Trailer Slope

-0.00268

0.00195

0.00214

-0.00221

-0.000409

-0.000688

 

(-0.92)

(0.67)

(1.04)

(-0.75)

(-0.14)

(-0.34)

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

0.000128

0.00140

-0.000999

-0.00351

0.00115

0.000754

 

(0.06)

(0.62)

(-0.63)

(-1.45)

(0.49)

(0.45)

Deferred Sales Charge Year 1

-0.0183

-0.0224**

-0.0142*

-0.0210*

-0.0220**

-0.0133*

 

(-1.56)

(-2.05)

(-1.83)

(-1.76)

(-2.06)

(-1.76)

Alpha Lagged *DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

-0.00177***

-0.000400

0.00155***

-0.000492

-0.000499

0.000724

 

(-3.11)

(-0.71)

(3.86)

(-0.74)

(-0.77)

(1.59)

Deferred Sales Charge Slope

-0.138**

-0.114*

0.00261

-0.132**

-0.103*

0.0110

 

(-2.34)

(-1.95)

(0.06)

(-2.26)

(-1.81)

(0.27)

Alpha Lagged * DSC Slope

0.00950

-0.00162

-0.00741

0.00169

-0.00962

-0.0119**

 

(1.19)

(-0.21)

(-1.32)

(0.21)

(-1.23)

(-2.16)

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

0.00167

0.00197

0.000740

0.00177

0.00224

0.000911

 

(0.70)

(0.84)

(0.44)

(0.75)

(0.98)

(0.56)

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission paid for DSC

-0.000827***

-0.000372

-0.000298

-0.000958***

-0.000594**

-0.000392**

 

(-3.20)

(-1.45)

(-1.64)

(-3.58)

(-2.28)

(-2.13)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table II.3. Panel B.(Continued)

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

Model 6

 

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All Inflows - All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Maximum Front End Commission (%)

-0.00541

-0.00788

0.0128*

-0.000809

-0.00274

0.0168**

 

(-0.51)

(-0.79)

(1.80)

(-0.08)

(-0.28)

(2.43)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission (%)

-0.00103***

-0.000679***

-0.000555***

-0.00144***

-0.00119***

-0.000803***

 

(-4.03)

(-2.68)

(-3.08)

(-5.47)

(-4.65)

(-4.43)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

-1.271

-1.603

-0.204

 

(-0.23)

(-0.30)

(-0.05)

Other payment to Dealer and Broker (%)

49.92***

40.13***

11.23

 

(4.74)

(3.90)

(1.54)

Alpha Lagged * Other payment to Dealer and Broker

-32.46***

-22.22*

-2.780

 

(-2.61)

(-1.84)

(-0.33)

Front End Commission Paid (%)

-0.0876***

-0.156***

-0.127***

 

(-28.71)

(-52.39)

(-60.27)

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission Paid

-0.00564

0.00329

0.00169

 

(-1.47)

(0.89)

(0.65)

Alpha Lagged*Performance Fee

0.00225***

0.000795*

-0.000416

 

(4.73)

(1.71)

(-1.27)

Negotiated Management Fee (%)

-0.0237***

-0.0498***

-0.0370***

 

(-6.46)

(-13.90)

(-14.62)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

-0.00647

-0.0187***

-0.0127***

 

(-1.43)

(-4.25)

(-4.07)

Minimum Purchase Amount

-8.98e-10

-9.57e-10

-3.59e-10

 

(-0.61)

(-0.67)

(-0.35)

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

9.89e-10

1.89e-09

7.11e-10

 

(0.53)

(1.04)

(0.55)

Constant

0.0712

0.109**

0.0524

0.0801

0.104**

0.0454

 

(1.31)

(2.16)

(1.46)

(1.45)

(2.10)

(1.30)

Number of Observations

73685

75205

75205

73611

75205

75205

Number of groups

1468

1558

1558

1468

1558

1558

R2 within

0.0008

0.0034

0.0008

0.0399

0.1026

0.0384

R2 between

0.0006

0.003

0.0009

0.0597

0.07735

0.0397

R2 overall

0.0006

0.0029

0.0008

0.0362

0.0639

0.023

F

5.802***

16.08***

28.85***

39.96***

128.4***

172.4***

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table II.3.

Panel C. Fund-of-Funds, Can be Purchased Directly

 

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

 

All Inflows – All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All Inflows – All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Alpha Lagged

-0.0276***

-0.0210***

0.0116***

 

(-5.69)

(-4.17)

(3.17)

Alpha Lagged ^2

0.000663***

0.000928***

0.000536***

0.000515**

0.000478**

0.000279*

 

(2.83)

(3.79)

(3.01)

(2.22)

(2.20)

(1.73)

Management Expense Ratio(MER)%

0.00429***

0.00515***

0.00228**

0.00468***

0.00575***

0.00234**

 

(2.81)

(3.27)

(1.99)

(3.09)

(4.11)

(2.26)

Alpha Lagged * Management Expense Ratio

0.00329**

0.00165

-0.00150

0.00377***

0.000725

-0.00354***

 

(2.28)

(1.10)

(-1.38)

(2.63)

(0.54)

(-3.56)

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

-0.000732***

-0.000408

0.000194

-0.000649***

-0.0000808

0.000437***

 

(-3.04)

(-1.63)

(1.07)

(-2.73)

(-0.36)

(2.65)

Alpha Lagged * Trading Expense Ratio

0.000448

0.000720**

-0.0000560

0.000311

0.000576**

-0.0000232

 

(1.45)

(2.25)

(-0.24)

(1.00)

(2.00)

(-0.11)

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

0.0501

0.0232

-0.0634**

0.0500

0.0185

-0.0579**

 

(1.43)

(0.64)

(-2.39)

(1.45)

(0.57)

(-2.41)

Alpha Lagged *Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee

0.00784***

0.00932***

-0.00234

0.00557**

0.0148***

0.00920***

 

(3.13)

(3.59)

(-1.24)

(2.15)

(6.13)

(5.14)

Trailer Slope

0.0137***

0.00769***

-0.000762

0.0136***

0.00645***

-0.00183**

 

(11.87)

(6.39)

(-0.87)

(11.93)

(6.03)

(-2.30)

Alpha Lagged * Trailer Slope

-0.00170

0.000200

0.00109

-0.000584

0.000673

-0.000245

 

(-1.45)

(0.16)

(1.23)

(-0.48)

(0.60)

(-0.29)

Alpha Lagged *DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

0.0000570

-0.000279

-0.0000485

-0.00143

-0.00160

0.000704

 

(0.13)

(-0.59)

(-0.14)

(-1.25)

(-1.50)

(0.89)

Alpha Lagged * DSC Slope

-0.101***

-0.0830***

0.0287**

-0.0866***

-0.213***

-0.170***

 

(-5.23)

(-4.14)

(1.96)

(-2.74)

(-7.22)

(-7.76)

Front End Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

0.000377

0.00222

-0.0106

-0.00246

-0.00640

-0.0124

 

(0.03)

(0.16)

(-1.03)

(-0.18)

(-0.51)

(-1.34)

Alpha Lagged *Sales Commission paid for DSC

-0.000503

-0.000109

-0.0000124

-0.0000597

-0.000534

-0.00123***

 

(-1.56)

(-0.32)

(-0.05)

(-0.17)

(-1.58)

(-4.92)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Front End Commission (%)

-0.000136

-0.000431

-0.000251

0.000377

-0.00120***

-0.00212***

 

(-0.52)

(-1.58)

(-1.26)

(1.22)

(-4.18)

(-9.93)

Alpha Lagged * Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

-0.0116***

-0.0222***

-0.0138***

 

(-4.27)

(-8.72)

(-7.34)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table II.3. Panel C.(Continued)

 

Model 7

Model 8

Model 9

Model 10

Model 11

Model 12

 

All Inflows – All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

All Inflows – All Outflows

All inflows

All outflows

Front End Commission Paid (%)

-0.0848***

-0.255***

-0.144***

 

(-41.57)

(-134.01)

(-101.89)

Alpha Lagged * Front End Commission paid

0.00633***

0.00404**

-0.00452***

 

(3.66)

(2.50)

(-3.76)

Negotiated Management Fee (%)

0.0665***

-0.0316***

-0.172***

 

(16.62)

(-8.48)

(-62.21)

Alpha Lagged * Negotiated Management Fee

-0.0246***

0.0405***

0.100***

 

(-3.83)

(6.80)

(22.73)

Minimum Purchase Amount

-0.00272***

-0.00260***

-0.00333***

 

(-6.01)

(-6.27)

(-10.85)

Alpha Lagged * Minimum Purchase Amount

0.0000203**

0.00000148

-0.0000326***

 

(2.20)

(0.17)

(-5.11)

Constant

-0.0367

-0.0545

0.0133

0.146***

0.165***

0.274***

 

(-0.99)

(-1.41)

(0.47)

(3.13)

(3.80)

(8.52)

Number of Observations

71980

73224

73224

71847

73224

73224

Number of groups

1300

1316

1316

1299

1316

1316

R2 within

0.0008

0.0228

0.0351

0.0006

0.0283

0.0306

R2 between

0.0013

0.0194

0.0283

0.0002

0.0195

0.0331

R2 overall

0.0005

0.013

0.0209

0.0001

0.0179

0.028

F

16.25***

9.819***

4.294***

108.3***

922.8***

771.4***

 


 


Appendix III.  Data Request Questionnaire

 

 

The following pages report the actual survey instructions provided to the mutual fund companies and the accompanying questionnaire.

 

 

Instructions

 

What is the deadline for data submissions?

Fund managers must submit their data by January 16, 2015.

What types of funds should be included in the data request?

Fund managers should provide monthly data for all open end investment funds that were offered under a simplified prospectus ("mutual fund") and that did not trade in the secondary market (i.e. not ETFs or ETF series). In situations where a non-redeemable ("closed end fund") was converted to an open end investment fund, the fund manager should report monthly data starting from the month at which the fund was first offered as an open end investment fund.

Should I report data for funds that have closed or merged?

Fund managers should report monthly data for all mutual funds that were distributed between January 1, 2003 and October 31, 2014 including those funds that were liquidated or merged.

How much historical data am I required to report?

Fund managers should report data for all requested data fields (see specific instructions below for each data field) going back to the date of fund series/purchase option inception or January 2003 (as applicable).

How granular should the data be reported?

Unless otherwise indicated, data should be reported at the level of the purchase option underlying each mutual fund series (i.e. at the fundSERV fund code level). Fund managers should report one worksheet per series/purchase option combination (e.g. A series/DSC, A series/FE should be reported as two separate worksheets).

Should I report only on the funds which I distribute?

Fund managers should report on all mutual funds that they distribute, all mutual funds that were distributed by an affiliated fund manager and, where applicable, all mutual funds by an acquired fund manager that were distributed between January 1, 2003 and October 31, 2014. We should receive only one submission per parent company.

In what currency should I report the data?

Unless otherwise indicated, all data - returns, assets under management, minimum investment etc. - should be reported in the series/purchase option combination's base currency (i.e. USD series/purchase options should be reported in USD etc.)

The data requested for many of the fields in the 'General Fund Information' section rarely/never changes. Do I still need to repeat this data each month in the spreadsheet?

No. Please report the data in the month of fund launch or at January 2003 (as applicable) then update it as needed in the month of a change. For example, if a fund's risk classification was 'Low' at fund launch in November 2005 then changed to 'Low to Medium' in February 2011, you would report 'Low' in the November 2005 cell then 'Low to Medium' in the February 2011 cell and leave all other cells blank.

Where/Who do I submit my completed data request files to?

DO NOT SEND COMPLETED DATA REQUEST FILES TO THE CSA.

Completed data request files should be sent to the attention of Professor Douglas Cumming.

Data can be sent via e-mail at: dcummingsurvey14@schulich.yorku.ca

Data can also be submitted on a USB key (encrypted if preferred) or on another storage format and delivered to: Douglas Cumming, Schulich School of Business, York

University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto, Ontario, M3J 1P3

Fund companies may also prefer to hand deliver the data on a USB key or other electronic storage format directly to Professor Cumming. Please contact Professor Cumming

via Dennis Yanchus or Chantal Mainville (contact details provided below) to arrange delivery.

What file format should used to complete the data request?

We strongly encourage you to use Excel and the Excel template provided to submit your data however if you would prefer to report the data in another file format, please contact Dennis Yanchus or Chantal Mainville using the contact information provided below to ensure that your preferred file format is acceptable.

What if some data is available now and other data will take more time to gather? Can I submit my data in stages? Yes, fund companies may opt to report data in stages if that is more convenient.

I cannot fit all of the data requested into one file. Can I submit multiple files?

Yes, however please ensure that all submitted files share the same file formats. File names should also be identical but include sequential numbering to ensure that submissions are easily matched. For example, if Acme funds submitted five files, file naming should be similar to the following - Acme_1_of_5, Acme_2_of_5, Acme_3_of_5, Acme_4_of_5, Acme_5_of_5.

Who should I contact if I have questions about the data request?

Please contact Dennis Yanchus or Chantal Mainville at the OSC using the contact information provided below if you have any questions about the data request.

Dennis Yanchus, Senior Economist dyanchus@osc.gov.on.ca

416-593-8095

Chantal Mainville, Senior Legal Counsel cmainville@osc.gov.on.ca

416-593-8168


 

Definitions and question specific instructions

Question Number

 

Question

 

Explanation / Examples

 

General Fund Information

1

Parent Fund Company Name

Please include the name of your parent company. Only one parent fund company name should be used for all fund manager subsidiaries and only one submission should be made for each parent company which should include the data for all of its subsidiaries. Examples: Fidelity Canada, IGM Financial, RBC Global Asset Management. Please report the name of the current parent fund company only in the month of fund series/purchase option launch. You are not required to report any historical name changes for this field.

2

Fund Family Name

Please report the subsidiary fund company name here. Where no subsidiary exists, fund managers should duplicate the parent fund company name (question #1). Examples: Mackenzie, Investors Group, RBC Funds, Phillips Hager & North. Please report the name of the current fund family name only in the month of fund series/purchase option launch. You are not required to report any historical name changes for this field.

3

Fund Name

Please provide the name of the mutual fund (e.g. RBC Monthly Income Fund). Please do not include any series/purchase option information in the fund name. The fund name should correspond to the overall branding name used in simplified prospectus. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

4

FundSERV fund code

Please report the full fundSERV fund code associated with the fund series/purchase option for which you are submitting data. If you do not distribute your funds via FundSERV, please use the fund series/purchase option code you use internally. Please use a different worksheet to report data for each FundSERV code. Examples: BNS1385, CIG016T8. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

5

Fund Series/Class Name

Please include the fund series/class nomenclature used by your firm. Examples: Investor, Advisor, A, B, I, O, F, T8, T6 etc. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

6

Fund of Funds

Please indicate whether the mutual fund is a fund of funds (FOF) product. A fund-of-funds product is a mutual fund that invests in other investment funds and is typically sold as a total portfolio solution. Please note that only mutual funds should be reported here, fund wrap programs (managed accounts, separately managed accounts etc.) should not be included in your data submission. If the fund is a FOF please indicate "Y" for yes, otherwise indicate "N" for no. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

7

Target Fixed Distribution Series/Class

The fund series/class is designed to pay a fixed (typically as a percentage of assets per unit) monthly target distribution to unitholders. If true please indicate "Y" for yes, otherwise indicate "N". Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

8

Purchase Option Type

Please indicate the purchase option type of the fund series/class reported. Permissible values are:

1.    No Load (NL) - the purchase option does not include a front end commission nor can it attract deferred sales charges but it does pay a trailer fee to the fund dealer. Do-it-yourself or discount brokerage ("D series") purchase options should also be reported as a no load purchase option if they pay a trailer fee but do not pay a front end commission nor charge a deferred sales charge. Please indicate "NL" for no load purchase options.

2.    Deferred Sales Charge (DSC) - the purchase option requires the investor to pay a redemption fee if the units are sold before a predetermined period has elapsed. Low load purchase options - a form of shortened DSC purchase option - should also be reported as a DSC purchase option. Please indicate "DSC" for deferred sales charge purchase options.

3.    Front End (FE) or initial sales charge - the purchase option allows the fund dealer the option of charging a negotiable front end commission directly upon initial sale. Please indicate "FE" for front end purchase options.

4.    Fee Based (FB) - the purchase option does not allow for a front end commission to be charged, it cannot attract deferred sales charges and there are no trailer fees paid to the dealer. Fee based options where there is a default trailer fee triggered (also sometimes termed a service fee) if the investor does not opt out should be reported as no load (NL). High net worth or institutional series/purchase options where there is no front end commission, deferred sales charge or trailer fee paid should also be reported as fee-based. Please indicate "FB" for fee-based purchase options.

Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

 

 

9

Series can be purchased directly from the fund manager

Please indicate whether the series/purchase option combination reported can be purchased directly from the fund company (i.e. the fund manager is also registered as a fund dealer or has received exemptive relief to allow purchases directly from investors). Please indicate "Y" if the series/purchase option combination can be purchased directly from the fund company and "N" otherwise. Do not indicate "Y" if the only direct purchases are from employees of the fund manager or the employees of any affiliated companies (e.g. for employee retirement savings plan programs etc.).

Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

10

Discount Brokerage Series

Please indicate if the series/purchase option combination has been created primarily for distribution through the discount brokerage channel (e.g. "D series"). Please indicate "Y" if true and "N" otherwise.

Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

11

Minimum Purchase Amount

Please indicate the minimum initial investment amount in dollars (base currency) for the series/purchase option as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

12

Fund series currency

Please indicate the currency used to determine the unit price of the fund series. Please indicate "CAD" for Canadian dollars and "USD" for U.S. dollars. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

13

Fund structure

Please indicate whether fund is structured as a mutual fund trust or a mutual fund corporation. If the mutual fund is structured as a trust, please indicate "T". If the mutual fund is structured as a corporation please indicate "C". Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

14

Index Fund

Please indicate whether the mutual fund qualifies as an index mutual fund as defined in National Instrument 81-102 Part 1. If it does, please indicate "Y" and "N" otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

15

CIFSC Fund Category

Please indicate the fund category as assigned by the Canadian Investment Funds Standards Committee (CIFSC). Fund category assignments and definitions can be found at www.cifsc.org. If a fund has not been assigned to a CIFSC fund category, please review the current fund category definitions and choose the category that best matches the fund's holdings and investment objectives. Current fund categorization should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier). You are not required to report any changes over time to the fund categorization, just the current CIFSC fund category or fund category at time of fund closure/merger is required.

16

Fund Risk Classification

Please indicate the fund risk rating as reported in the fund facts document (or in the "Who is this fund for?/Who should invest in this fund?" sections of the simplified prospectus before 2011) at the time of purchase. Permitted values are "H" for high, "HM" for medium to high, "M" for medium, "LM" for low to medium and "L" for low. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

17

Fund Series Inception Date

Please provide the fund series inception date in the month of fund series launch

18

Fund Inception Date

Please provide the fund inception date in the month of fund series launch

19

Fund Series Closure/Merger Date

Please provide the fund series closure/merger date (if applicable) in the month of fund series launch

20

Fund Closure/Merger Date

Please provide the fund closure/merger date (if applicable) in the month of fund series launch

21

Closed to investment

Please indicate if the fund was closed to new and/or existing investor investment in the month reported. Please indicate "Y" if it does and "N" otherwise.

Fund Fee Information

22

DSC Schedule Length (Years)

If you indicated "DSC" for this series/purchase option type, please indicate the length, in number of years, of the redemption fee schedule as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase. If you did not indicate "DSC" for the purchase option type please leave this field blank. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

23

DSC Applies to (O - Original Cost, C - Current Value)

If you indicated "DSC" for this series/purchase option type, please indicate whether the redemption fees were calculated based on the original investment amount or the current value of the investment at redemption. Please indicate "O" if redemption fees are calculated based on the original investment amount or "C" if redemption fees are calculated based on the value of the investment at redemption. If you did not indicate "DSC" for the purchase option type please leave this field blank. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

 

 

24

DSC Amount Year 1 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 1. (e.g. for purchases made in September 2004, the investor would be charged 7% if they subsequently redeemed during the first year after purchase therefore you would indicate "7" in this field). Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

25

DSC Amount Year 2 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 2. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

26

DSC Amount Year 3 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 3. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

27

DSC Amount Year 4 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 4. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

28

DSC Amount Year 5 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 5. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

29

DSC Amount Year 6 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 6. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

30

DSC Amount Year 7 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 7. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

31

DSC Amount Year 8 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 8. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

32

DSC Amount Year 9 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 9. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

33

DSC Amount Year 10 (%)

Please enter the deferred sales charge rate, as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase, that applied if the units/shares were subsequently redeemed during year 10. Please leave blank if you did not indicate "DSC" as the purchase option type or if no DSC applies. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

34

Sales Commission paid for DSC purchases (%)

If you indicated "DSC" as the purchase option type, please indicate the sales commission rate paid by the fund company to the fund dealer as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase (e.g. if at June 2007, the fund company paid a 5% commission to the fund dealer for each DSC purchase please indicate "5" in this field). Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

35

Maximum Front End Commission for FE purchases (%)

If you indicated "FE" as the purchase option type, please indicate the maximum front end commission rate as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase (e.g. if at June 2009 the maximum front end commission rate that applied was 4% please indicate "4" in this field). Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

36

Maximum Posted Switch Fee (%)

Please indicate the maximum switch fee rate as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase (e.g. if at June 2009 the maximum switch fee rate that applied was 2%, please indicate "2" in this field). Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

37

Does the Trailer Fee Change Over Time?

If you indicated "FE", "DSC" or "NL" as the purchase option type, please indicate whether the trailer fee paid to the fund dealer changes over time. Please indicate "Y" if the trailer fee paid does change and "N" otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

38

Initial Trailer Fee Length (Years)

If you indicated "FE", "DSC" or "NL" as the purchase option type please enter the length in years that the initial trailer fee applied (e.g. if at June 2011, an initial trailer fee of 0.5% was paid to the fund dealer for the first 3 years, then the trailer fee was adjusted up to 1% subsequently, you would indicate "3" in this field). Please indicate "P" for perpetual if the initial rate does not change over time. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

39

Maximum Posted Initial Trailer Fee (%)

If you indicated "FE", "DSC" or "NL" as the purchase option type please enter the maximum trailer fee annualized rate that applied to assets held during the period reported (e.g. if at June 2011, a trailer fee of 0.5% was paid to the fund dealer you would indicate "0.5" in this field). Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

40

Subsequent Trailer Fee (%)

If you indicated "FE", "DSC" or "NL" as the purchase option type and you indicated that the trailer fee changes over time, please enter the maximum subsequent trailer fee annualized rate that applied to assets held during the period reported (e.g. if at June 2011, an initial trailer fee of 0.5% was paid to the fund dealer for the first 3 years, then the trailer fee was adjusted up to 1% subsequently, you would indicate "1" in this field). Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

41

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee (Years or P for Perpetual)

If you indicated "FE", "DSC" or "NL" as the purchase option type and you indicated that the trailer fee, for purchases made during the period reported, changes over time, please enter the length in years that any subsequent trailer fee applied. If subsequent trailer fee rates are perpetual please indicate "P" in this field (e.g. if at June 2011, an initial trailer fee of 0.5% was paid to the fund dealer for the first 3 years, then the trailer fee was adjusted up to 1% in all subsequent years, you would indicate "P" in this field). Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

42

Subsequent Trailer Fee 2 (%)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the next maximum trailer fee rate that applied to assets held during the period reported. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

43

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 2 (Years or P for Perpetual)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the length in years that the next rate applies. If subsequent trailer fee rates are perpetual please indicate "P" in this field. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

44

Subsequent Trailer Fee 3 (%)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the next maximum trailer fee rate that applied to assets held during the period reported. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

45

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 3 (Years or P for Perpetual)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the length in years that the next rate applies. If subsequent trailer fee rates are perpetual please indicate "P" in this field. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

46

Subsequent Trailer Fee 4 (%)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the next maximum trailer fee rate that applied to assets held during the period reported. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

47

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 4 (Years or P for Perpetual)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the length in years that the next rate applies. If subsequent trailer fee rates are perpetual please indicate "P" in this field. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

48

Subsequent Trailer Fee 5 (%)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the next maximum trailer fee rate that applied to assets held during the period reported. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

49

Length of Subsequent Trailer Fee 5 (Years or P for Perpetual)

If the trailer fee continues to change over time, please indicate the length in years that the next rate applies. If subsequent trailer fee rates are perpetual please indicate "P" in this field. Please leave this field blank otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

50

Management Expense Ratio (MER) (%)

Please provide the management expense ratio (MER) after waivers and absorptions as reported in the management report of fund performance (or the financial statements before 2006) at the time of purchase. Please refer to National Instrument 81-106 part 15 for the calculation.

51

Performance Fee

Please indicate if the fund manager charged an incentive fee to the fund for the period reported. Please indicate "Y" if it does and "N" otherwise. Data should be entered at month of fund series/purchase option launch or at January 2003 (if inception date is earlier) then only updated as needed if changes were made.

52

Management Fee (%)

Please provide the management fee (%) for the fund series/purchase option as reported in the simplified prospectus at the time of purchase.

53

Trading Expense Ratio (TER) %

Please provide the trading expense ratio (%) for the fund series/purchase option as reported in the management report of fund performance at the time of purchase. For periods before 2006, please calculate (estimates are acceptable) and report the TER as outlined in National Instrument 81-106F1.

54

Total One-Time Referral Fees ($)

Please provide the total amount, in base currency dollars, of one-time referral fees associated with new monthly inflows

55

Total On-Going Referral Fees Paid ($)

Please provide the total amount, in base currency dollars, of on-going referral fees paid each month.

56

Other Payments to Dealer-Brokers ($)

Please provide the total amount, in base currency dollars, of payments made each month to dealer-brokers that do not qualify as trailer fees, DSC sales commissions or referral fees and that are tied to fund series/purchase type inflows or assets under management held in each fund series/purchase type.

57

Front End Commissions Paid ($)

If you selected "FE" as the purchase option, please provide the total amount, in base currency dollars, of front end commissions paid each month.

58

Negotiated Management Fees Paid ($)

Where the management fees of a particular fund series/purchase option are typically negotiated, please provide the total amount, in base currency dollars, of management fees received each month. This should include any payments made to the fund and any payments made directly to the fund company (or an affiliate) for fund management.

 

Fund Size and Returns

59

Fund Series/Purchase option assets under management held at Month End ($)

Please provide the total amount of net assets under management, in base currency, at month end for the fund series/purchase option combination reported.

60

Monthly Returns (Gross) (%)

Please provide the monthly percentage total return, in base currency, gross of fees for the fund

series/purchase option reported. If you have not stored gross monthly returns, please estimate the monthly

gross returns using the following formula:

GR = (NR + 1)/(1-(MER + TER)/12) - 1

Where,

GR = Gross return for month i

NR = Net return for month i (as reported in question #61 below)

MER = Management expense ratio after waivers and absorptions as reported in the management report of

fund performance (or the financial statements before 2006) at the time of purchase.

TER = Trading expense ratio for the fund series/purchase option as reported in the management report of

fund performance at the time of purchase (or estimated for TERs calculated before 2006).

61

Monthly Returns (Net of Fees) (%)

Please provide the monthly percentage total return, in base currency, net of fees for the fund series/purchase option reported. Monthly total net returns should be calculated in accordance with National Instrument 81­102 part 15.

Fund Flows

62

Total monthly inflows ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of gross purchases into the fund series/purchase option reported during the month. This field should include new purchases, pre-authorized contribution plan purchases (PACs), switches in and reinvested distributions.

63

Total monthly pre-authorized contribution plan (PAC) inflows ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of pre-authorized contribution plan (PAC) purchases into the fund series/purchase option reported during the month.

64

Total monthly switches in ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of switches into the fund series/purchase option from other fund series/purchase options reported during the month.

65

Total monthly re-invested distributions ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of re-invested distributions into the fund series/purchase option reported during the month.

66

Total monthly outflows ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of gross redemptions out of the fund series/purchase option reported during the month. This field should include one time redemptions, systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) redemptions, switches out and distributions made to unitholders.

67

Total monthly systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) outflows ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) redemptions out of the fund series/purchase option reported during the month.

68

Total monthly switches out ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of switches out of the fund series/purchase option and into other fund series/purchase options reported during the month.

69

Total monthly distributions to unitholders ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of all distributions (both re-invested and taken in cash) made to unitholders of the fund series/purchase option reported during the month during the month.

Affiliated Activity

70

Total affiliated dealer-broker monthly inflows ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of monthly inflows coming from affiliated dealer-brokers for the fund series/purchase option type reported. This field should include new purchases, pre-authorized contribution plan purchases (PACs) and switches in. A company shall be deemed to be an affiliate of another company if one of them is the subsidiary of the other or if both are subsidiaries of the same company or if each of them is controlled by the same person or company. Employee purchases should also be included here as well.

71

Total affiliated dealer-broker monthly outflows ($)affiliate

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of monthly outflows coming from affiliated dealer-brokers for the fund series/purchase option type reported. This field should include one time redemptions, systematic withdrawal plan (SWP) redemptions and switches out. A company shall be deemed to be an

of another company if one of them is the subsidiary of the other or if both are subsidiaries of the same company or if each of them is controlled by the same person or company. Employee redemptions should also be included here as well.

72

Total monthly inflows by affiliated investment funds ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of monthly inflows coming from affiliated investment funds for the fund series/purchase option type reported. This field should include new purchases and switches in. An investment fund shall be deemed to be an affiliate of another investment fund if it is managed by the same fund manager or an affiliated fund manager.

73

Total monthly outflows by affiliated investment funds ($)

Please provide the total dollar amount, in base currency, of monthly outflows coming from affiliated investment funds for the fund series/purchase option type reported. This field should include redemptions and switches out. An investment fund shall be deemed to be an affiliate of another investment fund if it is managed by the same fund manager or an affiliated fund manager.

 

 

 



[1] Our sample includes FundSERV codes that have closed, while the fundlibrary includes only current funds.  Also, it is possible that fund companies provided access to more fund series than are traded via FundSERV for the purpose of constructing the dataset used herein.

[3] Monthly fund flow information is not available publicly (but is shared among fund companies through IFIC and Investor Economics) and fund flow information by series / purchase option is not available at all.  FundSERV is an online hub that electronically connects fund companies, distributors and intermediaries, enabling them to buy, sell and transfer investment funds amongst each other.  A unique FundSERV code is provided for each fund series/purchase option combination.  See www.FundSERV.com

[4] The mutual fund data for this research was obtained further to a data request sent to all Canadian fund managers offering conventional mutual funds to the public under prospectus.  Canadian fund managers’ participation in the research was voluntary.  The data request questionnaire may be accessed here:  https://www.securities-administrators.ca/uploadedFiles/General/pdfs/Mutual%20Fund%20Fees%20Research%20Data%20Request.pdf

 

[5] Funds that can be purchased directly from the fund company include all those FundSERV codes for which the manager answered “yes” to the following question in the data request questionnaire: “Can this series/purchase option combination be purchased directly from the fund company.”

[6] Related literature on hedge funds has addressed similar issues on fund flows in relation to fee structures and regulation, among other things.  See Cumming and Dai (2009).

[7] In practice, trailer fees pay for many things not associated with advice. There is currently no legal requirement to provide advice in order to receive a trailer fee.  For example, discount brokerages receive trailer fees without providing any advice. Trailer fees are often paid quarterly as long as clients hold investments in the fund manager’s mutual funds.  Each dealer then pays out a portion of those trailer fees to its advisors according to the firm’s own compensation grid.  Generally, under this compensation grid, the more commission or fee revenue the advisor generates for the firm, the greater the portion of that revenue the advisor gets to keep.

[8] See footnote 4.

[10] A unique FundSERV code is assigned to each fund series/purchase option combination

[13] See Fama and French (2014).  Fama and French introduce a 5 factor model, and discuss the fact that for the purpose of calculating alpha, their new 4 factor model is the appropriate model, improving on models such as Carhart (1997). As a result, they have updated the Kenneth R. French Data library. Our factors are directly from the Kenneth French library http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/Data_Library/f-f_developed.html.  We considered robustness to considering separately funds that are and are not North American focused, as well as other fund categories, and the flow-performance results are quite stable.  We use a homogenous set of factors to calculate alpha as we do not have information to warrant picking different factors for different funds.  Also, our findings are robust to other specifications such as a single factor model based on market conditions for example.

[14] It is possible that some fund managers had problems gathering the data for all funds closed and merged over the sample period and in some cases, it was not possible to gather data on fund companies that had ceased operations  over the period, but we did not identify any gaps in the data from what we could ascertain from publicly available information.

[15] In the summary statistics we report the full MER to show the totals.  In the regression analyses we exclude from MER trailer fees and sales charges to avoid double counting and correlation across variables.

[16] The 10%, 5%, and 1% levels of significance mean that the data are consistent with the view that there is a 10%, 5%, and 1% chance of making an incorrect inference, respectively.

[17] Two-sample t test with unequal variances; H0: The mean of alpha after trailer fee jumps up (drops down) is the same as that before the jump (drop).

[18] Two-sample Wilcoxon rank-sum (Mann-Whitney) test; H0: The size of alpha after trailer fee jumps up (drops down) is comparable to that before the jump (drop).

[19] Fund characteristics that can affect flow may be related to market sentiment, risk preferences, demographics, investor preferences and needs, investor financial literacy, fund product awareness and recognition of benefits.  These characteristics are identified in a recent report by Investor Economics (2015).  Because Investor Economics does not use panel data regressions and/or information at the FundSERV code level, among other things, they cannot make statistical claims about the relationship between fund fees and fund flows.

[20] Note that with panel data methods, R2 is not directly comparable to time series regressions.  It is quite normal for R2 to be low in a panel setting because the same variables are used to explain differences in outcomes for different FundSERV codes, and not only the same FundSERV code at different points in time. For a detailed explanation, see for example http://www.stata.com/statalist/archive/2003-05/msg00336.html.

[21] The economic significance of the interaction terms are calculated at the average level of monthly alpha in the sample.

[22] Also, we considered regressions based on annual panels (instead of monthly) and the findings were not materially different.

[23] Fund-of-funds flows from affiliated dealers are pretty insensitive to past performance generally and that this relative insensitivity is quite a bit more impactful to flow than the effects of trailer fees.

[24] In view of the convexity of flow-performance slope, the level of alpha affects the slope.  Hence, if we include past alpha in the regression then we would introduce collinearity into the regression specifications.  We considered specifications with past alpha and found evidence of negative performance persistence on average from year-to-year alphas.

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